NCAAF Free Pick Week 7

739

LA Tech +7 (+100) at UTEP 8pm 

Miner Nation is going to hate for me this one, but I like LA Tech to cover this one. Line dropped from it’s open of -9 which I understand, UTEP has started better than expected at 5-1 on the season. LA Tech damn near lost to FCS school SE Louisiana second game of the season. UTEP’s defensive numbers are respectable, allowing 4.3 YPP (yards per play)  to LA Tech’s 5.7. However, the superior defensive numbers the Miners have can be thrown out in my mind as they have played the weakest schedule in the country.

LA Tech isn’t much better at 85th, but they did play well in all of their losses. I’m not crazy about the number at 7, so grab the 6.5 if it’s available to you at your book. Money agrees with me on this one, coming in slightly more to the LA Tech side. If the -7 (+100) scares you off I don’t blame you… It’s not a great value play. But I’m also looking for the Bulldogs to come out hot off of their Bye so taking the 1H -3.5 sounds even better to this bettor.

LA Tech 1H -3.5 (-111) 1.11u