SCAR at TEN Total 56.5
Total steamed up from 52 open because of Tennessee’s blowout of Missouri last week. Unfortunately Missouri is allowing the most Rush YPG in the country. South Carolina comes into this one relying on their defense as they have all year long due to their relatively unproductive offense (103rd Scoring). Tennessee’s offensive strength has been their run game (8th Rush YPG) and that is the Gamecocks weakness (68th v. Rush YPG)., so I understand why 67% tickets are on the over. Tennessee Coach Josh Heupel wants to run with his 10th nationally Scoring Offense. I understand why 67% tickets are on the over. But 60% of the money is on the Under. I hate Unders as much as the next guy, but oftentimes that is where the money is made. This game will be a clash of styles. South Carolina is 4-1 to the Under on the season, I know, because I’ve been riding this streak since the preseason injury woes at QB. I’ll keep on riding this one until SCAR’s defense or offense proves otherwise.
SCAR/ TEN UN 56.5 (-110) 1.1u
FAU at UAB -3.5
Buying low on UAB with their season opening QB out last week. Also the Blazers are off of a home loss against a good Liberty team. Selling high on FAU coming off a blowout win over a weak FIU squad last week. Huge disparity between 75% tickets on FAU to cover, yet only 56% of the money. Replacement QB for UAB got plenty of action last year so should adjust after a poor outing last week. UAB has a good team coming into the season expected to win the C-USA West. They can do it with their above average defense (45th Scoring Defense) against decent strength of schedule so far. FAU’s defense is not terrible either (63rd Scoring Defense). However, the Rush Defense is FAU’s weakness (121st Rush YPG), and UAB really wants to run the ball (Rush 41 att/pg v. 21 pass). This conference showdown should favor the home team.
UAB -3.5 (-116) 1.16u
