814 Stephen F Austin -2* vs Abilene Christian
Essentially a coin flip game tonight in the WAC tourney between a now healthy and hot ABCHR team against a SFA team that comes in winners of 10 in a row. Market is behind SFA bringing this one up to -2 from its -1.5 open, although it did pop up to -2.5 this morning. Hard to argue who has more momentum in this one so then I turn to the matchup, but ABCHR did struggle with Utah Valley initially last night. SFA has modest edges in offensive and defensive efficiency but what does concern me is their poor FT shooting. We’re seeing this total come down which tells me the market expects defense to rule on this neutral court in Vegas where SFA does have the edge. SFA has been fortunate, much like Providence or Middle Tennessee State, towards the end of the season with several narrow victories. While big money continues to fade these lucky teams, we’re not seeing that with SFA team that seems bound to end up in the WAC title game. Give me the Lumberjacks to get it done in another tight game.
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