306153 USC-Upstate -3.5** at Hampton
I like the best road ATS team in the Big South tonight against a Hampton Pirates squad who has a surprising 5-2 Conference ATS record. The Spartans have a significant offensive edge in every metric except in rebounds. What does concern me in this one is when the Pirates have a shorter line of +4 or less, they have been 4-0 ATS. Hampton also had a couple of impressive wins back in December (1-point wins versus Norfolk St and William & Mary). That could explain the shorter line tonight.
That being said, when facing the top half of teams in conference play, the lines have been bigger and more favorable for the Pirates. I have no issue with a bigger play on the better offensive team on the road against coming in with the highest momentum rating on Haslametrics.com. Give me the short number against a Hampton team who is struggling to keep up with the top of the conference at 2-5 SU. Let’s go Spartans!
My Patreon left some skid marks in the end of January but still ended up +20 units on what’s been a decent basketball season. See my track record or follow me on the Action App (at Kris_Lundborg) as all of my Patreon plays are posted there before tipoff as well since November.
