689 St. Louis -2 (-115)* at Rhode Island
STL hasn’t been a great team away from home as they had a unique schedule where they only played 6 road games in their first 18, so they haven’t done well on the road initially. I think they have adjusted to being on the road. When we look at their recent road games, we see that they played some tough ones on the road and kept it close in most of their losses, besides getting spanked by top ranked Davidson. Rhode Island does not present the same ability to knock down shots (266th Off. efficiency) and STL’s offense should be too much tonight (46th in same category). STL also comes as a much higher rated team on the outside looking in as far as their postseason hopes to get into the Big Dance, they can ill afford to lose one to a bottom A-10 team.
While Rhode Island always plays tough at home, I’ll take my chances with STL, in what I consider a “buy low” spot, to get there winning by more than a possession. In what bookmakers expect to be a close one, STL comes in very capable to put it away in the end at 55th in FT attempt rate and 17th in FT%. Also like the under in this one as both teams prefer to pound it out on the inside. Line has moved to RI in this one, so will keep it to a small play for me.
I have an additional 2 plays at my Patreon tonight in college basketball!
