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2024 College Basketball 53-44 up 11.5U as of January 13th!
146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!
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55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
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Chiefs vs Ravens -4 O/U 44.5
The Chiefs were a wonderful play for us last week both from a Teaser perspective and a side, but now things are a changing. The Chiefs are a bit more banged up than they were even last week with Nnadi out. Their best LB and QB Spy Willie Gay is questionable as he hurt his neck in the Bills game. Safety Mike Edwards had a concussion which makes him doubtful for this game. Offensive guard Joe Thuney also strained his peck and won’t go which is a huge blow to stopping big nose tackles like Michael Pierce. Ouch. The Ravens had an easier matchup and playoff run with the bye and last week’s game vs the Texans. Lamar took over in the second half, and did what Lamar does best. kansas City’s weakness last week was against running QB Josh Allen in which they couldn’t stop him on the ground. Kansas City’s rushing has been good with Pacheco averaging 4.4 yards per attempt, but the Ravens have been better at 5.0 yards per attempt. Guys like Gus Edwards and Justice Hill have really stepped it up. Advantage Ravens. As it comes to the passing game, nobody can do it like Mahomes, but we have to remember the fact that they are thin at wide receiver and Kelce has definitely been showing his age as of late. Believe it or not, if you throw in Lamar as a pure playmaker has boosted his QBR ahead of Mahomes ranking 4th in the regular season to Mahomes at 8th. The Ravens are number one in QB sacks. Their Defense is number 16th in rush EPA with their bend don’t break style. The Chiefs rank 28th in the same category. Not good against the number one rushing team in the league. With the injuries to the Chiefs and the tough road that they have had, I like the Ravens winning by 6 points 24-18.
Ravens -4 -1.5 stars
Lions vs 49ers -7 O/U 51
There was a huge scare in Santa Clara last week as the Packers probably should have closed out the game vs the 9ers. Much of the blame lies with Brock Purdy who seems to struggle in the rain. The good news is that the weather should be nice this Sunday for this game. Let’s cut to the chase here. The Lions have a wonderful offense both passing and running at 6.1 yards per play but the 49ers when cooking are really that much better at 6.8 yards per play. The Lions defense has been the crutch for this team ranking 21st in opponent EPA when the 49ers rank 10th. The 9ers have a 1.4 net yards per play advantage over the Lions. The big question is if Brock Purdy can play a good game. I trust Goff to get his points with that Lions offense, but that defense can just be so bad. Another question about this game is if Deebo Samuel can really play or might he act as a decoy. I have 49ers by 6.5 points so this seven is a little bit high. If you find a 7.5, it’s a play on the Lions. Instead I will play a prop here. Brandon Aiyuk is a good receiver, but there are just way too many playmakers for the 49ers in this game. His total is too high.
Brandon Aiyuk under 75.5 receiving yards – 1 star
Lions +7.5 up to -120 – 1.5 stars
