Welcome to a new Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer. Our record this season so far is 0-1
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 13-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Matt Ryan, QB: $5,500. While I don’t think the Colts will throw quite as much as they did in Week 1, Ryan is a solid value here against a Jacksonville team the Colts always seem to be in a battle with. This Jags defense got torched for 313 and 4 TDs by Carson Wentz last week. I think the potential is there for a solid day from the savvy veteran as long as the Colts aren’t blowing them out by the end of the first half.
Saquon Barkley, RB: $7,300. Maybe this is my version of Week 1 overreactions playing into this pick, but I was all over him where he was going in fantasy drafts also. Barkley when healthy is the most difficult running back to prepare for in the NFL. He had 194 all-purpose yards last week and now gets a Panthers defense who gave up 187 yards and 2 TDs to Browns RBs in Week 1. How could you not want Saquon this week.
Josh Jacobs, RB: $5,800. I fully believe the Cardinals are in trouble. It started with the Murray contract controversy. It’s now grown with a lack of player respect toward Kingsbury. It’s accelerated with the injuries. This defense is going to give up a bunch of points to solid offenses. Jacobs only hauled the rock 10 times, but gained 57 yards in Week 1. With the Raiders expected to be in front his role should be more front and center against Arizona.
Jerry Jeudy, WR: $5,600. Jeudy hauled in 4 of 7 targets for 102 yards and a TD against the SeaTurkeys in Week 1. Russell Wilson and the Broncos moved the ball with ease until they got to the goal line and I expect Wilson and his receiving core to have a big day again Sunday against the Texans and the defense that just let Matt Ryan throw for 352.
Curtis Samuel, WR: $4,600. Samuel played a versatile role lining up in both the slot and the backfield for the Commanders on Sunday. He led the team with 11 targets and hauled in 8 of them for 55 yards and a touchdown. He should continue to be Carson Wentz’s possession receiver of choice Sunday against a Lions defense that got dominated by AJ Brown. Look for McLaurin for some big plays, but Samuel will be the focus of moving the football.
Cooper Kupp, WR: $9,900. Yes the price is outrageous and it means I wont have Colts WRs to pair with Ryan, but I think the rest of this lineup is strong enough where I’ll be ok without the mini stack. Let’s see, Kupp caught 13 of 15 targets for 128 and a score. The Falcons gave up 7 for 114 and 5 for 57 to Jarvis Landry and Michael Thomas last week with 2 scores. Kupp is gonna feast again.
Darren Waller, TE: $5,600. The total for this game is at 51.5 so there should be plenty of points to go around. Adams will be the primary target, and the Raiders will likely run some more as I said with the Jacobs selection, but I think they will try and get Waller some more looks as well. 4 catches for 79 is nothing to sneeze at, but how about 6 for 101 and a score??
Greg Dortch, Flex: $3,500. Back to the same game, but on the other side. Looking for plenty of come from behind pass plays late from the Cards. Dortch will benefit again from Hopkins’ and Rondale Moore’s absences. He’s the number two behind Hollywood Brown right now, and he’s getting the softer coverage of the two. With 7 catches on 9 targets in Week 1 this is a huge potential value.
Bengals, DST: $2,200. While the Bengals defense was not overly impressive against the Steelers recording only 1 sack and not forcing any turnovers, they are cheap this week. They held the Steelers mostly in check. This is going to be a DST used in likely around 50+% of all lineups. And that’s ok. At this price against the Cowboys and backup Cooper Rush we want them in there. The Boys couldn’t move the ball when Prescott was in the game as the line is banged up and the weapons are older and fewer. Rush us really gonna struggle. I’m all in on the Bengals to blast the Boys. I’d be shocked if Dallas finds a way to 17 points. Plus, Rush is gonna turn it over.
