Welcome to a new Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head’s and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer.
Somehow even with Matt Ryan in our lineup last week we got a victory. DFS Football is all about finding guys with high usage before the price goes up. We were able to do that last week with Curtis Samuel and Greg Dortch. Will they make the roster again? It all depends on the price. Our record this season is now 1-1.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 13-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Joe Burrow, QB: $6,600. Burrow has been bad so far. I don’t think it’s the QB however. It’s the O-Line. He has been running for his life so far against Pittsburgh and Dallas and its translated into his passing numbers. The Jets don’t create the same pressure however being the 4th slowest in average time to pressure. The Jets secondary also gave up a huge game to Jacoby Brissett and the Browns last week and the Bengals bring a lot more to the table. Look for Burrow to get on track.
Dalvin Cook, RB: $7,900. Featured Running backs have certainly not been the way to make money so far in NFL DFS. I’m hoping Dalvin Cook can break the trend and get the Vikings running game traveling in the right direction. The Lions are giving up 152 YPG rushing most of which came against the Eagles week 1. In that game Miles Sanders racked up 96 yards on 13 carries and a score. If Minnesota can get out in front early look for a big game from Cook.
Dameon Pierce, RB: $5,000. Pierce should continue to grow his role in this offense as he had 16 touches in Week 2. With this game likely a low scoring affair with plenty of rushing on both sides I would look for that to increase against the Bears who allowed 200+ yards on the ground against the Packers Sunday.
Ja’Marr Chase, WR: $8,100. As stated above with Burrow, I think the Bengals offense gets back on track and that means a big day for Chase and his fellow receivers. The Jets gave up 3 TDs to Baltimore Wide-outs in Week 1, and even if the Bengals get up in the second half by two scores I see them keeping the pedal to the metal and getting this team some confidence back.
Tee Higgins, WR: $6,100. Higgins caught 6 of 10 targets for 71 yards and a score and is clearly the #2 in Cincy ahead of Boyd. See the Burrow and Higgins blurbs for the rest of the news that’s fit to print.
Drake London, WR: $5,800. London looks like he’s the real deal early in his NFL career. He went 8 for 86 and a TD on 12 targets last week against the Rams in the comeback attempt. Against the Saints week 1 it was 5 for 74 while they played with the lead most of the game. He got 12 of 26 Mariota targets in Week 2 so clearly London is where he wants to go with the ball. Hopefully they don’t cave to fan or owner pressure in trying to get Kyle Pitts the ball more often.
Logan Thomas, TE: $3,500. Thomas has 6 catches and 11 targets through 2 games. He hasn’t quite returned to his Pre-ACL form or snap percentage just yet, but the hints are that it may be coming. The Eagles gave up 7 catches for 61 yards and a score last week vs Minnesota and 4 catches for 38 against the Lions to Tight Ends.
Gerald Everett, Flex: $4,400. Everett hauled in 6 catches on 10 targets against the Chiefs in Week 2 for 71 yards. If Herbert is healthy I like this match-up with Keenan Allen still sidelined. Jacksonville’s defense wasn’t tested by the Colts in week 2, but Logan Thomas did get some solid open looks week 1. I think Everett will be Herbert’s second downfield option Sunday and hopefully the Jags try and take away Ekeler in the passing game.
Texans, DST: $2,600. Yup. I am really taking the Texas D here. They are 31st in YPG allowed, but they have not given up a ton of points, and some of those yards were in comeback time to Matt Ryan. The Bend But Don’t Break Houston Texans 2022. Justin Fields hasn’t shown anything yet to make me a believer and the Texans while not flashy have 3 Turnovers and 5 Sacks so far through two games.
