Welcome to a new Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head’s and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer.
Our record this season is now 2-1 in the high participant Double-Ups
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 12-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Jared Goff, QB: $5,900. The top three options in Allen, Jackson, and Hurts are all over $8,000. Too much for my blood. So who to turn to here in week 4? How about the guy who hasn’t attempted less than 34 passes. How about the guy going up against the 31st ranked pass defense in DVOA? How about the guy playing in a game with a total up over 48 points? Vegas think someone is going to score in this game so why not Jared Goff? The downside here is some of his weapons are not likely to play in Amon-St. Brown, DJ Chark, and Deandre Swift. I don’t think there’s a lot of drop-off in Jamaal Williams. I also saw enough when Quintez Cephus was healthy last year to know he has a connection with Goff. Let’s take a shot here.
Jamaal Williams, RB: $6,100. As mentioned above it doesn’t look like Swift will play. If he does this pick will change. Williams went 20 times for 87 yards and 2 TDs against the Vikings last week once he had the backfield mostly to himself. Seattle is 27th vs the rush and injured on defense so like I said I like the Lions to score in this one.
Austin Ekeler, RB: $7,700. Ekeler and the Chargers have been awful rushing the ball up to this point. Ekeler only has 80 yards on 32 carries. He has however been a key cog in the passing game with 21 catches for 139 yards. I think the Houston defense, who is 32nd against the run, coupled with the still less than 100% Herbert is what will get the Chargers to commit to the run this week. My only concern here are injuries on the Chargers O-Line and the fact that they seemed to mail it in last week. Could this be indicative of the teams tolerance of Staley? We will see.
CeeDee Lamb, WR: $6,700. Cooper Rush and Lamb seem to be on the same page. He’s got 23 targets from Rush for 15 catches, 162 Yards and a score. He also dropped a sure 40 yard TD pass last week where he was wide open. The Commanders should pressure Rush more the Giants did, but the secondary can be had.
Richie James Jr., WR: $4,000. Richie was getting decent snap percentage and averaged over 5 targets per game before Sterling Shepard went down. It’s clear this coaching staff doesn’t trust Kenny Golladay, and he did nothing to help that narrative with drops Monday night. Richie’s playing time is only going to go up. He’s really Rick James Jr. Bitch! Big value on this Superfreak.
Stefon Diggs, WR: $8,400. With all these solid mid-level and value options, I had to get a top tier player in somewhere. Diggs couldn’t find the end zone last week against Miami, but he’s the top option on Sunday’s slate and gets the ball in his hands whether the Bills are ahead or behind. The Ravens have been so bad against the pass that even Joe Flacco put some points up against them. Tua put up 6 TDs, and even the Pats moved the ball through the air. Look for Diggs to approach 10 catches with a score and a decent handful of yards.
Tyler Conklin, TE: $3,600. The Tight End’s are one giant group of questionable choices and questionable injury reports. Conklin has been Joe Flacco’s safety net thus far, and I really like this play here if Wilson isn’t back under center. He’s averaging 6 catches on 8 targets for 46 yards over three games and did find the end zone back in Week 1. The Steelers are giving up 5 catches for 45 yards vs opposing Tight Ends so the opportunity is there.
Greg Dortch, WR: $5,000. Dortch will be in my lineup for a second time if he can work through the back injury he is currently dealing with. He should be the number 2 guy behind Hollywood Brown if he can as the Cards WR room is decimated or suspended. If he can’t go you might not find out until after the Noon games go off so have a backup plan in place. Kyle Pitts could be play here if Dortch is still questionable before the early games kick.
Commanders, DST: $2,600. The Commanders have managed to at least pressure the QB up to this point even though they’ve given up a fair number of points. I think the front four is good enough to dominate against a below average Cowboys O-Line. I took Lamb above because he’s going to get his either way, but It’s still a backup QB playing in Dallas. Rivera has to have something up his sleeve this week.
