Welcome to a new 2022 Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head’s and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer.
Our record this season is now 4-2 in the high participant Double-Ups. I thought we had a big winner coming our way after the early games last week, but we ended up just barely holding on in our double-up and missed out on tournament $.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 11-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Joe Burrow, QB: $6,900. Yup going back to the well again. For only $1,000 more than the likes of Derek Carr, Burrow is a value even being near the top of the QB pay scale. Burrow got back on track against the Saints simply due to better protection. Now he’ll look to continue momentum against a Falcons defense that only has 8 sacks so far on the year. Since the opener against Pittsburgh Burrow has produced 14 total Touchdowns to only 1 turnover. They dirty birds are also 31st in the NFL allowing over 280 passing yards per game. I think the Bengals air it out and get up big early against this Falcons D on Sunday and I expect them to roll.
Kenneth Walker III, RB: $5,800. In two games as the starter for the Seahawks Walker has scored 14.8 and 19 points in DFS so far and has found the end zone in both contests. He is averaging 5.5 yards per carry and gets the Chargers Sunday who are allowing over 125 yards per game on the ground. The Bolts committed to stopping the run on Monday night, but Wilson and the Broncos had no answers through the air. If they try and stuff the run vs Seattle Lockett and Metcalf should make them pay. I think Walker is the key cog in this offense again however and is a great value at this price.
Kenyan Drake, RB: $5,100. The Ravens backfield is a mystery. Dobbins is out. Justice Hill is likely still out. Mike Davis has been ineffective in limited action. Gus Edwards has to be activated from IR for Sunday or he has to sit out the rest of the season. I think Drake gets most of the action even if Edwards is active. Drake was highly effective after Dobbins exit last week going for 119 yards and a TD on only 10 carries. The Browns have been surprisingly poor against the run, but that was with injuries on the D-Line to Clowney and Garrett for a few games. Drake looks like another nice value to load up on some pass catchers.
Ja’Marr Chase, WR: $8,200. Yup Back to back for Chase as well. The Falcons CBs, AJ Terrell and Isaiah Oliver have gotten taken to school by Brandon Aiyuk, Mike Evans, Tyler Lockett, and Cooper Kupp already this year allowing over 75 yards receiving to all of them. Oh and 114 Yards to Jarvis Landry. There’s no reason to believe they contain Chase on Sunday.
Romeo Doubs, WR: $5,000. Parting is such sweet sorrow for Aaron Rodgers who lost his old reliable in Randall Cobb. He’s out several weeks due to an ankle injury. Someone has to step up for the Packers and I think Doubs is the ball catcher Rodgers trusts most of his remaining options. He has averaged 7.5 targets per game in his last 4 contests while grabbing 20 balls for 170 yards and 2 scores. The Commanders left plenty of receivers running open for the Bears last week, and if Justin Fields didn’t suck the Bears could have put up some passing stats. The Packers are in a get right game in a get right spot after getting swept by the NYC football teams and Rodgers needs to get this passing game figured out. If they get going he may just bite his thumb at the naysayers.
Ceedee Lamb, WR: $6,800. Lamb is averaging ten targets per game and is relishing his new role this year as the Cowboys #1 Option. Whether Dak plays or not, I like the Cowboys to score some points against the sieve of a group masquerading as an NFL defense in Detroit. They are the worst overall defense in the league allowing 428 yards per game and are 26th against the pass. Coming off the bye week I have faith in the Lions offense keeping this game close so the Cowboys shouldn’t turn to simply rushing the ball too early.
Gerald Everett, TE: $4,000. The Seahawks are awful against opposing Tight Ends. Top tight ends are averaging 8 targets, 5 catches, 88 yards and .67 Touchdowns per game. Enter Everett who has 3 solid showings in the 6 contests so far. He has 22 catches for 242 Yards and 2 scores on the year. I think he gets at least 5 grabs and hopefully a score in this one.
Juju Smith-Schuster, WR: $5,600. JSS finally had a breakout game for the Chiefs against the Bills last week. I normally wouldn’t play against the SF pass defense, but the 49ers defense is still not at full strength. Without their full pass rush being healthy this isn’t the same team that’s allowing only 5.5 Yards per passing attempt. Plus Patrick Mahomes isn’t like going up against Baker Mayfield. I’m gonna see if JSS and Mahomes put together a connection.
DST, Jets: $2,600. The Broncos offense is a mess. Nathaniel Hackett might not survive one year as a head coach. He’s starting to lose the team and the drama with Melvin Gordon didn’t help. Are you ready for this next stat? The Jets are 9th in total defense. Yup 9th. They are also tied for 5th with 1.7 Turnovers per game. With Russell Wilson being hobbled by a hamstring even if he plays, I highly doubt his effectiveness level will be high in this one.
