Welcome to a new 2022 Theoddsbreakers.com endeavor. Getting you, our loyal readers some insight into developing NFL DFS Lineups built to perform in Double/Triple-Ups, Head to Head’s and 50/50s. Building a high-floor winner every week in these formats allows your bankroll to grow and take some shots at the High dollar contests that DFS has to offer.
Our record this season is now 6-2 in the high participant Double-Ups. We won this last week thanks to the P.J. Walker to DJ Moore bomb. I don’t care that he took his helmet off at all. Got us more stats in OT. We hit more BYEs this week making the available player pool tighter.
I’ll be bringing you my DFS picks for the main Sunday slate of games. If you play on DraftKings, it is a 10-game slate starting at 12:00 Central time. This article will be primarily focused on the DraftKings slate, so if you use Fanduel or any of the other DFS platforms you may have different rosters and values.
Taylor Heinicke, QB: $5,400. Josh Allen is the clear number one play, but at $8,500 he’s just too rich to build a solid lineup around without getting lucky. The Vikings are 9th in rushing yards per attempt allowed, but 31st in passing yards per attempt allowed at 7.7. Outside of Aaron Rodgers week 1, every QB has had a solid game against this defense. Even Justin Fields had 9.9 yards per attempt in their match-up. Heinicke has thrown the ball over 30 times in both his starts so far and I don’t see any reason the Commanders don’t attack this defense downfield on Sunday.
Aaron Jones, RB: $7,400. Jones quietly racked up a big game last week in the loss to Buffalo. He had 20 carries for 143 yards and caught 4 passes out of the backfield. While he will still split time with A.J. Dillon in the backfield, Jones gets the Lions share of the snaps. Speaking of the Lions, they are allowing 5.1 yards per rushing attempt. That’s not going to get it done against a Packers team that will continue to lean on the ground game while Aaron Rodgers and his receivers lack continuity.
Kenneth Walker III, RB: $6,200. Walker hits the lineup again as he continues to get carries and find the end-zone. Against the Cardinals in Week 6 he had 97 yards on 21 carries and scored. He has 5 scores in 4 games since becoming the main guy in the Seahawks backfield. I also like Eno Benjamin or James Conner on the other side of this match-up depending on who plays.
Terry McLaurin, WR: $5,900. Heinicke becomes the starting QB again and McLaurin becomes relevant. He has 11 catches for 186 yards and a touchdown with Heinicke back at the helm. Going up against this pass defense that’s 31st in yards per attempt we have to stack him here with Heinicke.
Deandre Hopkins, WR: $7,900. Just put Hopkins in every lineup until they get his price up where Jefferson and Kupp are at. 27 targets in his two games back with 22 catches, 262 yards and a score. Seattle held Murray in check in Week 6 sacking him 6 times and holding him to 222 yards passing. Hopkins changes the complexion of this offense however and if Seattle brings pressure that means Hopkins is likely facing solo coverage. I think he gets to 100 yards again on Sunday.
Tee Higgins, WR: $7,300. Higgins should be Joe Burrow’s main target with Chase out. He struggled on Monday night, but so did the Bengals offensive line. When Burrow gets protection, his receivers have big days. It should happen again here versus the Panthers who are 30th in the NFL in sacks getting just 1.5 per game.
Robert Tonyan, TE: $3,600. Tonyan led the Packers in targets on Sunday night against Buffalo and is one of the few people I think Rodgers trusts at the moment. He also had a TD called back for offensive PI so he should be in play near the goal line. The Lions allow over 5 catches and 59 yards per game to opposing tight ends so this is a juicy match-up for Tonyan.
Laviska Shenault Jr., FLEX: $3,300. With P.J. Walker at the helm opposing defenses will have to respect the pass and deal with D’onta Foreman on the ground. This offense has looked much better the last few games and been very well balanced. That being said I expect them to be playing from behind against the Bengals on Sunday and they will need to pass to stay in the game. Shenault was third on the team in targets behind DJ Moore and Terrace Marshall. He is also finally healthy so should continue to be the #3 guy in Carolina and I expect another 3-5 catches and maybe he can snag a score.
Colts, DST: $2,700. The Colts will face the Patriots offense and Matt Patricia and Joe Judge and Mac Jones and maybe Bailey Zappe. The Jets held the Pats to under 300 yards last week, and the Colts are 7th in points allowed per game at 19.6. This has been a solid unit that has kept the subpar Colts offense in games up to this point. They just haven’t created a bunch of turnovers up to this point. I think this could be the week that changes.
