We’ve arrived. It’s now less than 24 hours until the NFL Season kicks off in Kansas City. This is the final of 9 preview articles that broke down the season win totals and projections for each team and outlined where value could be found. In this article I will give you a fun mock playoff scenario to look at conference and Super Bowl odds, and some other player bets I feel have some value.
My all time tracked record in the NFL currently sits at 178-151-2 with a 7.4% ROI as we had a huge 2021 and a slight winning campaign in 2022. You can find all my packages available here including an all inclusive football package covering college and the NFL for $500 for the whole season.
Wanna know anything else? Hit me up on twitter or whatever it’s called now @TheGreatKnoche.
Playoffs
As I have gone through each division article, I’ve highlighted where I think each team will finish based on my power rankings and head to head simulations. I will use those records here to give you a mock playoffs for this fall.
AFC Seeds
1-Los Angeles Chargers, 2-Buffalo, 3-Baltimore, 4-Jacksonville, 5-New York Jets, 6-Kansas City, 7- Cincinnati
NFC Seeds
1-San Francisco, 2-Philadelphia, 3-New Orleans, 4-Detroit, 5-Dallas, 6-Seattle, 7-Atlanta
Wild Card Weekend Scores
Buffalo 31 Cincinnati 30 – Baltimore 34 Kansas City 30 – New York Jets 27 Jacksonville 14
Philadelphia 37 Atlanta 13 – New Orleans 24 Seattle 13 – Dallas 31 Detroit 27
Divisional Round Scores
San Francisco 20 Dallas 17 – New Orleans 31 Philadelphia 25
New York Jets 16 Los Angeles Chargers 14 – Buffalo 28 Baltimore 27
Conference Championships
New Orleans 24 San Francisco 10
Buffalo 19 New York Jets 14
Super Bowl
Buffalo 31 New Orleans 23
Futures Bets – Use a Dutching Tool to Maximize value for what you are playing here.
Super Bowl – Buffalo +900, Los Angeles Chargers +1800, Jacksonville +2500, New Orleans +3700. I don’t hate mixing Detroit in for the NFC. Fading Philly and San Fran is the only way to go here. I think the AFC is wide open so finding some of the longer shots I think will get in the dance is what I looked at.
Season Long Player Awards and Props – These are all Beer or Pizza Bets for me. Nothing major, something to cheer for with some value.
MVP – Justin Herbert +950, Tua +2200. If Tua somehow stays healthy for a full season and the Dolphins reach the playoffs this is a great price
QB With Most passing Yards – Same two Guys, Herbert +425, Tua +2000
QB With Most Interceptions Thrown – Anthony Richardson +1800
Most Rushing Yards for Season – Derrick Henry +750, Tony Pollard +1500
Most Rushing Touchdowns for Season – Nick Chubb +750, Tony Pollard +1700
Rookie With Most Rushing Touchdowns – Anthony Richardson +325
Rookie With Most Receptions – Zay Flowers +400
Comeback Player of the Year – This is probably going to be Damar Hamlin, but just in case I’m going Calvin Ridley +2200
Defensive Rookie of the Year – Devin Witherspoon +950, Lukas Van Ness +1000
Offensive Rookie of the Year – Bryce Young +425
Defensive Player of the Year – T.J. Watt +850
Coach of the Year – Robert Saleh +2000
General Props –Again, these are all Beer or Pizza Bets for me. Nothing major, something to cheer for with some value.
Fewest Point Scored in Season – Carolina +1500
Team With Least Points Allowed Regular Season – New Orleans +1500. I really like this one with their schedule and went a full unit on this play.
Most Points Scored Regular Season – Los Angeles Chargers +1000
Team with Best Regular Season Record – New Orleans +2200, Los Angeles Chargers +2500, New York Jets +2500
Team with worst regular season record – Houston +700
Best of Luck to Everyone this year, and keep following along here at TheOddsbreakers.com
