We’ve arrived. It’s now 48 hours until the NFL Season kicks off in Kansas City. This is the final of 9 preview articles that broke down the season win totals and projections for each team and outlined where value could be found. In this article I will give you a fun mock playoff scenario to look at conference and Super Bowl odds, and some other player bets I feel have some value.
My all time tracked record in the NFL currently sits at 228-191-7 with a 3.4% ROI as we had a huge 2021 and a slight winning campaign in 2022 and 2023. You can find all my packages available here at TheOddsBreakers.com
Wanna know anything else? Hit me up on twitter or whatever it’s called now @TheGreatKnoche.
Playoffs
As I have gone through each division article, I’ve highlighted where I think each team will finish based on my power rankings and head to head simulations. I will use those records here to give you a mock playoffs for this fall.
AFC Seeds
1-Cincinnati, 2-Miami, 3-Kansas City, 4-Houston, 5-Buffalo, 6-Baltimore, 7- Pittsburgh
NFC Seeds
1-Dallas, 2-Detroit, 3-San Francisco, 4-Atlanta, 5-Green Bay, 6-Philadelphia, 7-New Orleans
Wild Card Weekend Scores
Miami 27 Pittsburgh 21 – Kansas City 30 Baltimore 17 – Buffalo 31 Houston 27
Detroit 37 New Orleans 13 – San Francisco 24 Philadelphia 19 – Green Bay 31 Atlanta 23
Divisional Round Scores
Buffalo 34 Cincinnati 31 – Miami 37 Kansas City 27
Green Bay 27 Dallas 24 – Detroit 22 San Francisco 21
Conference Championships
Buffalo 31 Miami 28
Detroit 24 Green Bay 20
Super Bowl
Buffalo 37 Detroit 31
Super Bowl Odds
Buffalo +1600, Detroit+1000, Green Bay +1200, Miami +2200. I don’t hate mixing the Chargers in +4000 for fun just in case Harbaugh does some magic. Use a Dutching Tool to Maximize value for what you are playing here.
Season Long Player Awards and Props – These are all Beer or Pizza Bets for me. Nothing major, something to cheer for with some value.
MVP – Tua +2000
QB With Most passing Yards – Joe Burrow +700
QB With Most Interceptions Thrown – Sam Darnold +1000
Most Rushing Yards for Season – Kyren Williams +1200
Most Rushing Touchdowns for Season – Travis Etienne +2000
Most Receiving Touchdowns – Drake London +2000
Most Receiving Yards – JaMarr Chase +800
Defensive Rookie of the Year – Chop Robinson +1200
Offensive Rookie of the Year – Jayden Daniels +450 – Probably gonna be Caleb, but price is too short.
Defensive Player of the Year – Maxx Crosby +850
Coach of the Year – Zac Taylor +2500
General Props –Again, these are all Beer or Pizza Bets for me. Nothing major, something to cheer for with some value.
Team With Fewest Point Scored in Regular Season – New England +250
Team With Most Points Scored in Regular Season – Buffalo +1200
Team With Least Points Allowed Regular Season – Atlanta +2000
Team With Most Points Allowed Regular Season– Tennessee +1000
Team With Most Wins Regular Season– Miami +1800
Team With Fewest Wins Regular Season- Indianapolis +3000
Best of Luck to Everyone this year, and keep following along here at TheOddsbreakers.com
