We have arrived at the first few days of training camp which means real NFL games are just around the corner. I’ve put together 9 preview articles that will break down the season win predictions for every team in football, and then look to the playoffs and what teams have value in the futures. I have gone through the entire schedule game by game and have found some great values on season win totals. I’ll highlight my top plays along the way and get you my picks division by division. In these preview articles last year, I nailed the Rams to win the Super Bowl so I had a great plus money hedge on it, and walked away a big time winner on Super Bowl Sunday.
My all time tracked record in the NFL currently sits at 117-88-1 with a 16.9% ROI as we had a huge 2021. You can find all my packages available here including an all inclusive football package covering college and the NFL for $600 for the whole season.
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NFC East
2021 Records
Dallas 12-5/ Philadelphia 9-8/ Washington 7-10/ NY Giants 4-13
Dallas – Even with Mike McCarthy still as head coach the Cowboys should be the class of this division again in 2022. They did lose some key pieces in Amari Cooper and Randy Gregory and will likely take a small step backwards, which doesn’t bode well for their post-season drought. Dak still has the injury bug just looming around waiting to bite as his calf injury affected him in the second half of last year. Zeke and Tony Pollard will likely split time in the backfield and should be effective. The WR corps is down to just CeeDee Lamb and a bunch of unproven guys, someone will have to step up to help. The O-Line has also regressed slightly. The defense gave up over 350 yards per game and that put them 19th in the league. While they lost Randy Gregory they did replace him with former #3 overall pick Dante Fowler. They also addressed the DL in the draft with Sam Williams. The linebacking core has Micah Parsons who is a stud, but they aged a century or so resigning Vander Esch. Trevon Diggs was a ball hawk half the time and a scapegoat the other half. The Cowboys will need to find some secondary improvement to compete in the playoffs. Vegas Win Projection: 10 Juiced Over -120
Philadelphia – The AJ Brown deal was one of the big splashes of the NFL off-season, he gives Jalen Hurts a true target and elite possession receiver. The problem for me is it is still Jalen Hurts. The same guy who was replaced for lack of accuracy and down field effectiveness in the college title game by Tua. They rode a weak 2nd half schedule to a 9-8 record last year and a playoff berth where they got shellacked by the Bucs who rode out to a 31-0 lead before calling off the dogs. The running game is truly led by Hurts, and Miles Sanders now a year older has been hurt and largely ineffective. The O-Line stays together from last year and is strongest unit on the offense. The Philly Defense was abused in the passing game allowing an NFL high 69.4% completion percent. They signed Haasan Reddick and Kyzir White to try and increase some pressure on opposing QBs to help the secondary. They were 31st in sacks per game in 2021. Fletcher Cox has become ineffective on the line, and the rest of the crew is also below average. Lots of people are in on the Eagles this year. Not me. Vegas Win Projection: 9.5 Juiced over -125
Washington – The Commanders and Dan Synder continued to be the most dysfucntional in the NFL (Honorable mention to Cleveland) Carson Wentz comes to rescue the Commanders and return them to glory! Or a top 5 overall pick in 2023. I liked Taylor Heinicke’s play on the field, but the talent level was just lacking. Terry McLaurin re-signs and if he develops some chemistry with Wentz could bring a new dynamic to the offense. I like the draft pick of Jahon Datson to give them a dynamic offense weapon to deploy opposite McLaurin. Antonio Gibson and JD McKissic provide very solid 3 down coverage in the backfield. Logan Thomas could be a dynamic player if he comes back healthy from his knee injury. The defense greatly underachieved in 2021 led by 2021 ROY Chase Young who only amassed 1.5 sacks before suffering an ACL injury in week 10. The rest of the D-line is solid if unassuming. Linebacker is a huge weakness and losing Landon Collins in his hybrid linebacker/safety role isn’t going to help. I think Kendall Fuller could become a Revis Island type corner this year in the secondary. Vegas Win Projection: 8 Even Juice at -110
New York Giants – I thought the Daniel Jones era should be over in New York, much like the eras of another Head Coach and GM. This team just can’t build any consistency with the constant turnover. I like the Brian Daboll hire so hopefully they can get things moving in the right direction. I just don’t think it will be this year with Jones still running the show. Daboll’s first moves were getting him some veteran offensive line help. Saquon Barkley has never lived up to potential, but maybe with the improvement on O-Line he will. the receiving core of Golladay, Toney and Shepard have tons of talent, but sometimes it seems not the drive to succeed. Evan Neal is a huge win in the draft. Of course Kayvon Thibodeaux is the real draft prize. I had him as my #1 player in the draft pool and think he has a big time immediate impact. Don “Wink” Martindale takes over as DC and will likely find creative ways to use him and Azeez Ojulari up front to create havoc. He will have to come up for some ways to help a porous secondary with very little experience. Vegas Win Projection: 7 Juiced Under at -130
2022 Projections:
Dallas 11-6
Philadelphia 8-9
Washington 7-10
NY Giants 4-13
NFC East Action:
Dallas – Lean Over. I think this division is fairly static this year. Worry about Dak staying healthy as the main reason this isn’t a play.
Philadelphia – Lean Under. Even though my projection is 8-9, the schedule is weak and I could see a way they end up at 11 or 12 wins if everything breaks right.
Washington – No Play. Lots of variables in play with Wentz and injured players coming back.
NY Giants – Under 7 Wins 1.5 Units. I just don’t see this team being 3 wins better even with a weaker schedule. I certainly dont see a way for them to 8 wins and a loss on this wager. Jacksonville and Houston are gonna beat somebody right?
