We have arrived at week 2 of the Pre-Season, which means real NFL games are just around the corner. I’ve put together 9 preview articles that will break down the season win predictions for every team in football, and then look to the playoffs and what teams have value in the futures. I have gone through the entire schedule game by game and have found some great values on season win totals. I’ll highlight my top plays along the way and get you my picks division by division. In these preview articles last year, I nailed the Rams to win the Super Bowl so I had a great plus money hedge on it, and walked away a big time winner on Super Bowl Sunday.
My all time tracked record in the NFL currently sits at 117-88-1 with a 16.9% ROI as we had a huge 2021. You can find all my packages available here including an all inclusive football package covering college and the NFL for $600 for the whole season.
Here we are at the final division preview. This was the best division in football last year in my opinion. 2022 will not be a repeat performance
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NFC West
2021 Records
Los Angeles Rams 12-5/Arizona 11-6/ San Francisco 10-7/ Seattle 7-10
Los Angeles Rams – The Rams were picked by me to win the Super Bowl in this column last year and they did just that. Matthew Stafford getting out of Detroit proved a recipe for success. Sean McVay continued to prove he is the penultimate offensive mind in the NFL. On offense Allen Robinson takes the place of Robert Woods. Cooper Kupp will still be his #1 target. Cam Akers should be back healthy but his safety net in Sony Michel is gone. The O-Line suffered the biggest loss in the retirement of left tackle Andrew Whitworth. On defense some of the key pieces are back in Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey. Von Miller has moved on however and so has #2 corner Darious Williams. The did sign veteran Bobby Wagner who may still have some gas left in the tank. I’d look for them to make some moves yet to bolster the defense, but their draft capital is depleted so it might not be a huge splash like Miller in 2021. Vegas Win Prediction: 10.5 Juiced over -125
Arizona – This team shot out to a 7-0 start in 2021 thanks to staying healthy and getting turnovers. The team that finished the year 4-6 is likely the more true version of the Cardinals. After making the playoffs they apparently felt they had to resign Kyler Murray early. Maybe they should have just agreed to buy him a PS5 because this contract is really going to hurt them after this season and I don’t think Murray has proven anything up to this point. On offense they did make a splash in getting Hollywood Brown to go opposite Deandre Hopkins and AJ Green which should help open up the offense inside for Zach Ertz. Hopkins will be out until week 7 however so we will have to see if they can hold up until then. They start off against Kansas City, Las Vegas and the Rams so it could be a rough beginning. James Conner will carry the load at RB behind an O-Line that returns mostly intact. Losing Chandler Jones at DE/LB is one of the biggest losses for any unit this off-season. JJ Watt isn’t what he used to be and they are going to have to hope one of their draft picks turns into something special to help get to the QB. The secondary was weak in 2021 and they did nothing to improve it. Vegas Win Prediction: 8.5 Juiced Even at -115
San Francisco – Well, I guess San Fran thinks it has to be better at QB to get to the Super Bowl. Jimmy G getting them within 3 points of it wasn’t good enough so its time for Trey Lance. I’m looking at him as a rookie QB essentially, and there have been 102 QBs that have started 10+ games for their teams since 1980. Only 12 have made the playoffs. That list includes guys like Bernie Kosar, Big Ben, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Dak Prescott, Matt Ryan and RG3. There are a few outliers like Kyle Orton and maybe Lance will join one of these groups, but just watching him so far I’m not gonna hold my breath. The rest of the roster is solid to support him however, but they couldnt do much to improve due to salary cap issues and no first round picks. Deebo Samuel and Georgr Kittle are two elite position players. Elijah Mitchell and Trey Sermon will carry most of the load at RB unless Samuel allows them to put him back into the hybrid role again. The interior of the offensive line could have 3 new starters this year which is also not ideal for a new young QB. On defense the only big acquisition was Charvarius Ward at corner to help a secondary that struggled mightily in 2021. The front seven is amazing led by Nick Bosa and Fred Warner and will make the QB get rid of the ball fast to help the secondary. Vegas Win Prediction: 9.5 Juiced Over at -140
Seattle – The Russell Wilson era in Seattle is over and the rebuild in The Emerald City has begun. I wouldn’t expect Drew Lock or Geno Smith to lead this team to the playoffs so we will chalk this year for them up to player development and Pete Carroll’s retirement cruise. The QBs will still have DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to throw to so the cupboard ins’t completely bare. The O-line however will feature 2 rookie tackles who will match up with an experienced interior to try and open holes for breakout RB Rashad Penny. On defense Jordyn Brooks has already become a star, but he will need some help from his friends. The D-Line is all retreads the Hawks signed to fill the void, and the rest of the linebacker core is not great. In the Secondary the Legion Of Boom is long gone, but the safeties Jamal Adams and Quandre Diggs can both cover a lot of ground. Jim Thorpe winner Coby Byrant will be one of the new corners this year. The D kept them in a lot of games last year, but I think they are also moving in the wrong direction. Vegas Win Prediction: 5.5 Juiced Over at -135
2022 Predictions:
Los Angeles Rams 12-5
Arizona 9-8
San Francisco 8-9
Seattle 5-12
NFC West Action:
Los Angeles – Lean Over. While I have them for 12 wins predicted they do have a very hard schedule.
Arizona – No Action But…… I’d look for this team to possibly start 0-3 and then jump on the live over with Hopkins return on the horizon.
San Francisco – No Action. If Trey Lance does well they should win 9-10 games. If he doesn’t Jimmy G should be back in there and he’ll get them to 8-10 even if they start poorly.
Seattle – Lean Under.
