NFL Sharp Movement 1/12

1332

% difference between ticket counts and money

Colts +5.5 down to +5 is sharp at the Kansas City Chiefs 60% of the tickets on the Colts and 67% of the money on the Colts – 7%.
 Total:  Under 57 was slightly sharp at 4%

Opinion: The fact that this line stayed around +5.5 all week really tells you that maybe the line should be 3. I like the total under 57 because of the weather and playoff football.

Dallas vs LA Rams -7 – 57% of the tickets are on big D and 56% of the money on Dallas.  1% on Rams.  Total: at 48.5 is very balanced

Opinion: No good info. There is opposite opinions from different groups and syndicates on this game. I like the live betting option best

LA Chargers +4 55% of the tickets on the Chargers and 65% of the money.  10% Sharp.  Total: 47.5 this bounced around a lot and 57% tickets on the over but 79% of the money is on the over.   22% difference and is a sharp side.   

Opinion: So both Public and Sharp on the dog here. Numbers say Chargers and History Says Patriots. I personally prefer the dog. As for the total I am not running to the counter to bet the over 48 in 23 degree weather.

Philadelphia +8 – 53% of the tickets on Philadelphia and 57% of the money. 14% sharp.  Total:  51.5 75% of tickets on the over and 95% of the money is on the over.  20% sharp side

Opinion: Philly is a true sharp side here and it came in late. I personally disagree but not enough to take a -8. Good for a teaser in my opinion on the Saints but I may take the Saints at the half if the line is right. As for the total over 51 is a key number so I do not like the 51.5. If you can find under 51 then I like the total over as well.

 

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.