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Titans vs Bears -3.5 O/U 43.5
Some say that you always take the +3.5 in a football game. I beg to differ in many spots. There is a reason a line is 3.5 and you do not have to look far to see that. The Titans have a new coach in Brian Callahan. He was an offensive coordinator at the Cincinnati Bengals. The very same Bengals team that crapped the bed last year. I am not sure if he will become a great head coach, but he certainly has work to do. Last season, the Titans were poor on offense and Will Levis was a big part of that. This team ranked 20th in pass EPA on a pretty easy schedule. Will only completed 58.4% of his passes in his 9 games with 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Now he has to learn a brand new offense that will involve a lot of passing. The defense should improve as this team signed some big names like Chidobe Awuzie at corner, and Sebastian Joseph at defensive tackle, but going from ranking 28th in defensive EPA last year leaves lots of room for improvement. The Bears on the other hand have a brand new high flying offense under new OC Shane Waldron. You saw some of his schemes in the pre-season, and rookie QB and number 1 draft pick Caleb Williams looks very poised. The Bears defense was quite solid last year ranking 16th in defensive EPA. Over the last eight weeks of the season, the Bears defense ranked 3rd in defensive EPA. I think that the Bears win by margin here and I will lay the points.
Bears -3.5 – 2 stars