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Chiefs vs Bills -2.5 O/U 45
We have a couple of different things happening here. The BIlls are getting injured and the Chiefs are getting healthy. Normally, I lean or bet the Bils in this game, but now I am very concerned for the Bills defense. CB Teron Johnson, CB Rasul Douglas, CB Christian Benford and LB Terrell Bernard are all pretty banged up. Bernard is the key one to watch as the Chiefs have been running the ball quite well lately. Christian Benford is out with the others questionable. We also have to also remember that safety Taylor Rapp is out as well for this game. What makes matters worse for the Buffalo defense is that WR Rashee Rice has been balling out for KC, and WR Sky Walker will be back in the mix. Both the Chiefs and the Bills are a bit weak against the run, but the Chiefs are better against the pass ranking 3rd in opponent pass EPA to the Bills ranking seventh. Josh Allen is the big wildcard here, and I think that the Bills will need Bernard and at least two of the mentioned cornerbacks to be healthy to play this game. In the mean time, I will take the under being that the Chiefs are the best under team in the league. It also will be very cold and I expect a heavy dose of Pacheco. Chiefs unders are 13-5 this season with that great defense.
Under 45.5 – 2 stars
Lean Chiefs +2.5 for now
Teaser: Chiefs to +8.5 with the Bucs to +12.5 – 2 stars
