Cowboys vs Packers +4.5 O/U 43
The Mike McCarthy revenge game! Or is it the Aaron Rogers revenge game for McCarthy holding them back? Or maybe it’s the Dez Bryant, not a catch revenge game when the NFL had the rule that some catches that looked exactly like a catch were not catches depending on how you interpret the process of the catch during the actual catch rule. Anyways, I have to ask myself, what this line would be if the Cowboys were at Washington, or Arizona, or the Steelers, because all three of those teams that I have listed line up about the same metrically as the Green Bay packers. Now throw in that the Packers are without their best WR in Romeo Dobbs, their second best corner in Eric Stokes, their best pass rusher in Rashaan Gary and they have Jones and Watson questionable.
Take the Cowboys -4.5 – 2 stars
Lions vs Bears -2.5 O/U 48.5
This number keeps bouncing back and forth here. I think at the beginning of the season, the Lions were a clear better team than Chicago, but as the year progressed, Chicago has probably caught up. Now, the Lions coming off the big win vs the Packers might call for a little bit of a let down, but they are also getting healthier. Think what you want about the side, but I honestly can’t see why this total isn’t over 51 points right here. The lions are number 4 in red zone touchdown percentage and top 6 in yards per play on offense. The Bears are top 8 in EPA per play over the past 3 weeks and now they have more weapons with Claypool. Both the Bears and the Lions defenses are bottom 4 in the league. I checked the Weather for this game and it shows sunshine with normal wind. Take the over. But I will say that it feels way too easy for some reason.
Over 48.5 – 2 stars
Teaser: From Pod Seattle to +9 with Denver to +9 but if you didn’t get that, Take Denver to +9 with the 49ers to -1.5 – 2 stars
