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Browns vs Saints +1 O/U 44.5
This is a good betting game today, but the metrics will not tell you that. These two teams might have been the most injured teams in all of the country minus maybe the Dolphins and Rams. The best thing to go by here is situation. The Saints have gotten a little healthier over the past few weeks, but they still do not have one of their top two receivers. The Browns are the healthiest that they have been all season, yet they traded the top wide receiver to Buffalo. The running game is where I have to focus. The Saints even when healthy cannot stop the run ranking 31st in opponent rush EPA. Now that the Browns have Chubb back, he should have a field day in New Orleans. The Saints also are most likely missing LB Pete Warner along with a bunch of offensive line. From a quarterback perspective, the Browns have actually upgraded by going to Jameis Winston compared to what DeShaun Watson did before his injury. Derek Carr isn’t exactly much better, and the wild card is that Jameis will want to put down a great performance against his old team. The Saints traded away their best cornerback in Marshawn Lattimore, and I think that it will show today. I also like the fact that Cleveland is off of the bye. take the Browns on the ML.
Browns ML -120 – 2.5 stars
Teaser: Dolphins to -1 with the Texans to -1.5 – 2.5 stars. Dolphins fighting for playoffs. Finally healthy. Cowboys are toast and should have some quit in them.
