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Titans vs Texans -8 O/U 40.5
Sometimes as a sports bettor, you just have to hold your nose. The Titans are the worst ATS team in the NFL at 1-9 against the closing number. They have burned our money at times when they should have won some of their games out-right. In saying that, we are betting on them again. I think that this team isn’t quite as bad as some folks think, while the Texans are not quite as good as all of the hype. On offense, the Titans are a brutal 28th in EPA, but they are finally more healthy as QB Will Levis and RB Tony Pollard both have missed time. The Texans are not exactly crushing it themselves ranking a below average 19th in EPA. On defense believe it or not, the Titans are number one in opponent passing yards per game allowing only 164. They also rank 6th in rushing yards per attempt allowing 4.1 while the Texans rank 20th in that category allowing 4.5. As long as the Titans do not turn the ball over, this spread can certainly be covered. The low total of 40.5 tells you the dog is in play. Hold your nose and take the Titans.
Titans +8 – 2 stars
Teaser: Dolphins to -1 with the Raiders to +11.5 – 2.5 stars – The Raiders should keep it closer at home while Miami should win the game.
