Washington vs Carolina -10 O/U 39.5
Dwayne Haskins is really all you have to say about this handicap but at the same time, the kid has nothing to work with. Washington is actually in a let down spot here after getting their second win of the season against a beat up Lions team. Carolina is better than Washington in yards per play but .5 and it would be larger if the schedules were closer. Washington has had a much harder schedule than Carolina. Every public power rating has the Panthers favored by 11-13 points. My PRs have it by 14 factoring in the let down spot. Carolina is in a tough wildcard race in the NFC and they need this game big. Washington should be losing for draft capital in my opinion.
Carolina -10 – 2 star premium shared
NY Jets vs Cincinnati +3.5 O/U 41
There are not many teams worse at Yards per play than the Bengals but the Jets fit right in at 4.5 yards per play while the Bengals are at 4.8. Even worse, the Jets on the road have only 4.1 yards per play. Now the biggest worry here is that the Jets are a 1.5 yards per play better than the Bengals on defense. The Jets have a net yards per play advantage of 1.2. The biggest thing for me here is that the switch back to Andy Dalton should not only motivate him to make some big plays but also motivate the Bengals to get their first win. My power ratings have this game a pickem so I will gladly take the 3.5 points over the key number.
Cincinnati +3.5 – 2 star premium shared
Philadelphia vs Miami +9 O/U 45
Slump buster alert! Miami is back to playing Miami football this year and they really should have no motivation to win this game. What does it accomplish for the future of this team? They already have the worst home field advantage and there will be some Philadelphia fans at this game. The Eagles have been in a massive slump but finally hit the easier part of their schedule playing 4 out of their last 5 games against tomato cans. I think that Alshawn Jefferey will be back this game to help Wentz out of tough situations and if Nelson Agholor plays then they can stretch the field. Philly has a 1.3 net yards per play advantage here and I have to think that Doug Peterson will be ready to put one on the Dolphins. My Power ratings have this game around 10 but the situation favors the Eagles who are getting healthy and have a great shot still at the wildcard after beating Green Bay and the Bears.
Philadelphia -9 – 1.5 star premium shared play – slump buster
