Arizona vs New York Giants +2.5 O/U
This game is an interesting one. The Cardinals have been free falling down the standings since that amazing catch and game winner vs the Bills. I think that when this happens, it is the perfect time to buy on a team. The Giants are in the exact opposite position winning their last 4 games in a row. Just 1 of those teams has a winning record and its time for the fade train. Starting with my power ratings, I have the Cardinals still 6 points better on a neutral field and I do not think that we can give the Giants much of a home field advantage here. As far as yards per play, Arizona has a net .8 yards per play advantage. Being that Colt McCoy most likely to be the starting quarterback for the Giants here, I like AZ.
Arizona -2.5 – 2.5 star premium shared play
Houston vs Chicago PK O/U 45
I just saw a trend on Killer sports about the Chicago bears and game totals. Since 2005 when the Bears have had less than 14 days of rest, the line is less than +3, they were not a +2 or larger dog the previous game, their time of possession is greater than 24 minutes and they face a team that gets more than 64% of their first downs from the pass. The Bears are 32-0 to the OVER. Now I like killer sports and everything but sometimes I think they go a little to far with these situations. Albeit all that, I still like the over in this game. The Bears are a desparate team and they are throwing the ball all over the place meaning they are prone for turnovers and possibly some big scores. Now we know that Houston has a very good offense being top 3 in yards per play at 6.3. Their defense is bottom 4 at 6 yards per play. The Bears are a dismal 4.8 yards per play on offense but they are at home and I expect some points to be scores. They also don’t have that great defense allowing an average 5.4 yards per play. In the Bears last 5 games, they have allowed an average of 28.8 points per game and I think that the Texans will score in the 20s for sure if not more than that.
Bears vs Houston over 45 – 2 star premium shared play
Refuse to lose 6pt teaser – 7-6 for the year: Packers to 1.5 with Tampa Bay to .5 – Packers have been on fire for teasers and the Bucs coming off the bye.
Bow to the gambling gods parlay 2-9 this year Pays 24-1. LAST ONE OF THE FOOTBALL SEASON – ALL NCAA SPREADS: Illinois +14.5-110, Wake Forest, +2-110, West Virginia +14-110, Baylor +4.5 -110, Arkansas +31.5 -110