NFL Week 15 Free Plays

943

Atlanta vs San Francisco -9 O/U 47.5

Nobody knows Matt Ryan more than 49ers coach Kyle Shannahan.   He coached him in their superbowl year.   In saying that, I have to expect that Kyle knows his weaknesses as well.  Believe it or not, Atlanta quietly ranks 3rd in opponent rush EPA but only 27th against the pass. Jimmy G has been lights out lately throwing the ball to Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle.  He is top 5 in pass success rate as well as EPA per play.  The only way to stop Jimmy G is to get to him.  Atlanta is dead last in Sack rate. The Falcons also have some injured linebackers with Ellerbee and Fowler exiting last game. DVOA hates the Falcons having them dead last and don’t have them a lot higher.   The 49ers are 8th in DVOA and trending up.   Take the 49ers.

San Francisco -9 – 2 stars

6 pt Teaser:   Cincinnati to +9 with Green Bay to -1 – 2 stars

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.