NFL Week 15 plays – Sports Betting

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Cleveland vs Denver – 3

Well here are 2 teams that are really pretty much in the same situation.   Both teams are 3rd in their division and have almost the same records with Cleveland 5-7-1 and Denver 6-7.   Now Cleveland has been on the up since they fired coach Hugh Jackson and decided to go with Freddie Kitchens.   Denver on the other hand still has some coach controversy over Vance Joseph.   When looking at the team stats you have to give it to Denver slightly on defense averaging about 25 less yards per game and Cleveland slightly on offense averaging about 4 more yards per game.   The handicap I love here is the situation.   Cleveland is still a very motivated team trying to prove that they will be finally not just relevant but maybe a playoff team next year while Denver pretty much just had their playoff hopes crushed last week at San Francisco.   What is now even worse for Denver is that they really got hit hard with the Injury bug over the last few weeks losing Emmanual Sanders, Jeff Heuerman, and cornerback Chris Harris.   They also had a ton of people banged up from last game who are questionable.  Because of this and their season crushing situation, I see Cleveland not only covering this spread but also winning this game outright.   

Cleveland +3 and ML

Philadelphia vs LA Rams -9

Well if you saw the Eagles Season win total around 9 or 9.5 it is because of the brutal schedule’s that Superbowl teams get.   The NFL is the great equalizer in that aspect anyways.   The Eagles have not been the team of last year and can really only beat up on the bad teams.   Last week Amari Cooper exposed their injured secondary and was able to go for over 200 yards with an average QB throwing them the ball.   Now the Eagles have to travel to LA where they play one of the 4 best teams in the league who was embarrassed last week in Chicago.   This is their second road game in a row and they are about to experience some amazing athlete’s.    The eagles also just lost Corey Clement who was the last RB to play in last years Superbowl before losing Ajayi in early October.    The Rams are a top 3 offense in both points and yards per game with a very disruptive defense.   Their secondary played lights out last week vs the Bears with Talib back at corner.  Being that the Eagles are a bottom 5 rushing team and Carson Wentz will not even be playing…

LA Rams -9 all the way to -13.5

Greenbay vs Chicago -5.5

Now I do not really understand why the spread went down so much because the situation does not match up.   Most power ratings have the bears at about a 5 to 6 point favorite here and maybe people think that this is a let down spot for Chicago for beating the top team in the NFL last week.   Let down spots do not factor in division clinching games and I do not understand why people would think that.   If the Bears win this game, not only do they clinch a playoff spot, but they also clinch the NFC North division which has been their first goal starting with the rebuild that happened 4 years ago.   To add to this, it is also a huge revenge spot for the bears going back to their first game vs the Packers where they gave up a 21 point lead in the second half making Aaron Rodgers look like a football god and choking that game away.   I would actually rank the Revenge spot higher than the division clinching spot.   Now everyone thinks after last week that Mike McCarthy got fired the Packers are a better team.   That is 100% WRRRRROOOOOOONG.  Now that the Packers got that coach firing win past them they will come back to earth and prove to the world that they still have many of the same personnel and locker room problems that they have had in the past.   When it comes to defensive efficiency, there is no D like the bears this year.   Mitch Trubisky knows that the Bears won last week in spite of some of his mistakes and he will be better this week.   I am going with the ANGRY BEARS

Bears -5.5

LA Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

This line smells and it is a total trap game.   Teams tend to not play well after going overtime the week before and especially on a short week.   It was also clear that the Chargers were looking ahead to this game.    Both teams have some major running back woes over the last few weeks.

Bets that I will be on is the Vikings for their offensive coordinator getting fired but waiting for the line to get below 7

NO PLAY and lean to the under 53.5

Teaser:   I call this the home dog and don’t let your coach get fired teaser.   Carolina Panthers to +12 and the New York Jets to +12.5