Green Bay vs Detroit -12.5 O/U 43
This is a pretty large spread for such a low total against a decent Lions offense. The Packers will be motivated here for sure to try and keep their first round bye and possible home field throughout playoffs but they won’t be in blowout mode and will also try and keep people healthy. Detroit hasn’t given up on the season and they also feel disrespected from what happened last game vs the Packers in Lambeau. I can see Detroit putting out one final effort here being that Matt Patricia is going to be there next year as well. My power ratings have this a 4 point spread and if you adjust it for no Matt Stafford, I have it at 7 but certainly not 12. Looking a yards per play, the Packers are a terrible -1.2 on the road while the Lions are -.8 at home. The Packers defensive weakness shows against the run allowing 4.5 yards per attempt. The Lions get Kerryon Johnson back and will try and pound the ball more due to their QB deficiencies with 3rd string David Blough. Take the Lions
Detroit +12 – 3 star premium shared play
NY Jets vs Buffalo Bills -1 O/U 36
Now you can tell that there is something very fishy about this spread. Real power ratings have the Bills a 9-10 point favorite at home vs the Jets but the reason this spread is sso low is because Buffalo is LOCKED IN to the 5th seed and can’t change that. They do not need to play their starters long and if they do then the coach should be fired. I personally wouldn’t play my starters at all but McDermott said he was going to. Now this isn’t the situation with the Texans where they can improve their seeding and take a division rival out of the playoffs. The Jets are out of the playoffs but coach Adam Gase will be there next year and this team will want to leave this disappointing season on a high note. This spread has not been adjusted quite enough here and I can see Josh Allen and most of the starters only playing for 1 quarter vs the Jets. This is preseason game 2 for the Bills and a big game for the Jets.
NY Jets +1 – 4 star premium shared play
Philadelphia vs NY Giants
The Eagles will be motivated to win this game and win the NFC East division but NY will also want to play spoiler here and I think that they jump at this opportunity. How good does it feel to take a rival out the playoffs? They are also riding a scoring high vs the Redskins. This team is more healthy than before and will also want to leave the season off on a high note for coach Shurmur. The Giants are pretty healthy here and Daniel Jones will be running and gunning all day throwing the ball to Golden Tate and Sterling Shepard. The Eagles are actually in somewhat of a let down spot here after beating the Cowboys and are in danger of taking this Giants team too lightly. The Eagles are once again very very banged up with Zach Ertz questionable having a rib injury and Nelson Agholor questionable as well. Even if they play they won’t be 100%. They also have big defensive talent like Fletcher Cox, Jalen Mills and Derek Barnett banged up. Ronald Darby is now on the IR. Pure Power ratings have this game a 2 point spread rather than a 4.5. Giants may be sneaky here.
NY Giants +4.5 – 1.5 star premium play
