Falcons vs Commanders +4 O/U 46.5
This game is more important then many think. The Falcons still can win their division, and they have the tie-break with the Buccaneers. Now I usually do not love betting on mediocre teams in must win situations, but in this game, the Commanders are in a bad spot. Last week, Washington beat their division rival in the Eagles. That was nice, but it took a quarterback injury for the birds to get the Job done. The Commanders may be in let down mode. Even if we do get a solid effort from the Commies, it’s not like they are world beaters with a defense ranking 24th in EPA. Falcons rookie quarterback Michael Penix Jr will have a chip on his shoulder as he is playing against other rookie in Jayden Daniels who has gotten a lot more praise throughout this season. I think that the upgrade here will make this at least a close game. Another issue with Washington is that last week, they lost a few big defensive players to injury like S Tyler Owens, CB Marshawn Lattimore and LB Jordan McGee. Take Atlanta with the points.
Falcons +4 – 2.5 stars
Teaser: Colts to -2 with the Buccaneers to -1.5. If the number isn’t there then do a 7 point teaser to get past the three. Both have some very winnable games and the Colts should roll the terrible Giants with Flacco.