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*On a side note, I do like the Vikings tonight with the points. The line is down to +6 or +6.5 in some places. Anything 6 or above is a play. DO NOT take anything under 6. *
Vikings +6.5 (BetMGM -110) risk 1.1u to win 1u
Washington at Denver -3.5 O/U 39 (4:25pm ET)
The Commanders crept by arguably the worst team in football Week 1 in D.C., the Arizona Cardinals. While the offense had plenty of problems, specifically the offensive line, the defense lived up to the hype. Holding Arizona to just 13 first downs and limiting them to 3 field goals with one being from 50 plus. Safe to say they held their end of the bargain. Now you’re probably thinking, big deal they stopped Joshua Dobbs and company who cares. For starters, they did this without Chase Young (I know, as usual), but also are playing with a rookie at cornerback. 1st round pick Emmanuel Forbes was everything and more in his debut but will be much more tested this week facing Russell Wilson and their ensemble of receivers.
Clearly both teams struggled offensively in Week 1. Denver’s top 2 receivers were back-up/3rd down running back Samaje Perine and TE Adam Trautman. Wilson had trouble getting the ball to his top targets and now must face one of the better back ends of defenses in the league. Washington is going to have its fair share of problems getting the ball through the air to their electric playmakers as well. Howell was sacked 6 times in Week 1 and was pressured by what seemed like every pass play. With all that said, the team who has the most success on the ground wins this game on Sunday. Give me Brian Robinson all day long. This is a smaller version of Derrick Henry. I know it’s a crazy comparison, but the more he gets the ball, the later it gets in the game, the stronger he is. He will eat away at this Broncos defense as the game progresses. Which will slow down the pass rush for Denver and give Howell time to get the ball to his speedy receivers.
Like I said earlier in the summer, the Payton/Wilson experiment is going to take time like anything else. Landing this hungry Washington defense Week 2 after a NON emotional performance the first week is a terrible combination. Give me the Commanders Week 2 with the points at Empower Field at Mile High. Do note I have multiple bets on this game, giving us max ability to CRUSH this game.
I do believe we will see a pick 6 or fumble 6 in this game. So, if you wanted to take a shot at a side bet of their being a defensive touchdown at obviously PLUS money, go for it! Throw some lunch money on it.
Good luck if tailing any of these bets, as always bet what you can afford to lose, stay disciplined and BREATHE…
- Commanders +3.5 (Caesars -110) risk 1.38u to win 1.25u
- First Half: Commanders ML +140 (Caesars) risk 0.4u to win 0.56u
- Correlated Parlay (+264): Washington +3.5, Wash-Den under 39, risk 0.25u to win 0.66u
THREE Bonus Plays below:
1pm ET- Colts +1.5 (Caesars -110) risk 1.1u to win 1u
1pm ET- First Half: KC-Jacksonville over 25 (Caesars -110) risk 1.1u to win 1u
8pm ET- Patriots +3 (Caesars -110) risk 1.1u to win 1u
