LA Rams vs Buffalo -2.5 O/U 47
Ok, this Bills team is 1-1 ATS but is better than people think. Josh Allen ranks 4th in QBR and the Bills are taking better chances down field. They have some wonderful receivers there and did not catch the injury bug last week. The Rams really can’t say the same when they lost their rookie running back Cam Akers last week to a rib injury and Malcomb brown hurt his finger. Not good for a runningback for holding the ball because he will be taped up after minor surgery. The Rams also lost starting guard Joe Notebloom. A position of weakness for them. He might play but will be banged up and because of this, I see the Bills D getting to Jared Goff quickly unlike what the Cowboys and Eagles could do. I also think that the Covid restriction of the Rams being able to stay on the east coast affects this game as a bad travel spot. It threw off their plans per say and even if they expected this, they still have to travel. Gonna take the Bills -2 here to give the Rams their first L.
Buffalo -2.5 – 2 star premium shared
Houston vs Pittsburgh -4.5 O/U 45
Houston is starting out 0-2 and 0-2 ATS. How bad is this team is the question that needs to be asked? Lets look at the facts. They were a playoff team last year. That’s good. They have a stud QB. That’s good. They traded their other best player away for garbage. That’s bad. They have one of the worst coaches in NFL football. That is also bad. Here is the kicker. Who did they play their first 2 weeks of football? THE 2 BEST TEAMS IN THE NATION! The Texans are a desparate team right now but we have to at least put things in the perspective of whom they faced. They actually are middle of the road in yards per play ranking 16th at 5.6 and opponent yards per play ranking 19th at 5.9. I actually would argue that that’s not that bad considering their opponents. The Steelers on the other hand played a bad Giants team and a very injured and quarterbackless Broncos team and only average 5.7 yards per play on offense but a great 4.5 on defense. I want to see what the Steeler’s defense can do against a Deshawn Watson led offense myself. One thing that does stick out to me is that the Steelers aren’t the greatest favorite as of late. Since November 18, 2018 they are 2-10 as a favorite. The Steelers beat the Broncos by 5, but I don’t think that they beat the Texans by that much. I’ll take the desperate team with JJ Watt and DeShawn Watson.
Houston +4.5 – 1.5 star premium shared play
Refuse To Lose Teaser – Indianapolis to -5 and NY Giants to +10 – 2 star premium shared – Indi is passing 3 key numbers of 10, 7 and 6. NY Giants are at home and the 49ers are starting Mullens. Low total of 41 is teaser material.
Bow to the Gambling Gods Parlay – NFL Colts -529, Browns-328, NCAA Miami -369, Baylor -1050, Liberty -241, Virgia Tech -240 – This ML Parlay pays 3.25 – 1
