NFL Week 4 Free Plays – Sports Betting

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Indianapolis vs Chicago +2 O/U 44.5
– This game is very interesting to me.  I gave it out at 3 but still like it at 2.  Lots of people think that the Bears should be 1-2 but those people who say that haven’t watched Bears full football games and they haven’t watched how many points that Mitch tends to leave on the table each week.   Mitch has been straight up horrible for about 70% of each game making so the Bears have to try and come back in almost every game.   This team seems to never be able to pull away and now with Nick Foles, there is some hope.  Now when I say hope, I want to clarify that slick Nick has actually been a very average quarterback as a starter.   For some reason, Foles seems more built to come in to win a game rather than be “named” the actual starter.   Ryan Fitzmagic syndrome if you will.  The good thing is that Nick Foles actually knows this offense quite well being that he was under Nagy and Andy Reid back in Kansas City in 2016 and of course under Doug Peterson back in 2017 to win the super bowl for the Eagles.  Matt Nagy actually lent Nick his car back in 2016 to drive to and from practice believe it or not.  The Colts on the other hand is pretty high in most people’s power ratings and number 1 in Footballoutsiders.com DVOA but my question is, who have they played?   Some of the worst teams in the NFL is the answer in the Jets, Jags and The Vikings.   I actually had this game more of a pickem before this all happened but now looking at the 2 injuries the Colts have at Wide Receiver without Campbell and Pittman, I think the Bears are the ones that should be favored this game.
Chicago +2 – 2 star premium shared play and sprinkle
Buffalo vs Las Vegas +3 O/U 53.5
– Ok, the Raiders didn’t exactly show well vs New England and it was a terrible spot for them.   Now they get to come back Vegas where they beat the Saints not too long ago.  It is interesting to see this team as a 3 point dog here who is facing a team in Buffalo that was outgained last week and probably should have lost.   Buffalo is certainly an above average team but they also had a pretty easy schedule in facing the Jets and the Dolphins.  The Raiders had to go to Carolina and then faced the Saints and the Pats.   One thing that the Raiders shown was weakness against the run vs the pats allowing 250 yards on the ground but the good news here is that the Bills are not the greatest run team so far at only 4.1 yards per rush.  The Raiders are hopeful to get Nick Kwaitkowski back this week to help that poor rush defense.  The Raiders are banged up at wide receiver with Brian Edwards and Henry Ruggs still out for now but they should be able to utilize Nelson Agholor and Hunter Renfrow.   If Ruggs can make it back then it is a bonus here at this number.   The Bills are not exactly stopping people allowing 6.0 yards per play.  I think the Raiders have a very good chance here to not only cover this spread but to win outright.
Raiders +3 -2 star premium shared and ML Sprinkle
Refuse to Lose Teaser 6 pts:   Tampa Bay down to -1 with the Chicago Bears to +8.5
Bow to the gambling Gods Parlay:  NFL Tampa Bay -325, Rams -747, NCAA Florida -1150, UNC -516, Memphis -132, Pitt -581.  Pays about 3-1
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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.