Bills vs Ravens -2.5 O/U 46.5
This should be a very fun night game with the Bills being undefeated against an angry Ravens team who should be undefeated. I honestly have the side of this game pretty close as the Ravens should be favored by about two points or so, but I think that this total is short. The Bills offense has been even more electric than last year ranking 1st in overall EPA and 1st in success rate. The Ravens are actually not too far behind at 7th in success rate and 6th in EPA per play. The defense is where Baltimore takes a big hit as their defensive coordinator left for Seattle in the offseason. Currently, the Ravens defense ranks 26th in EPA while the Bills rank 7th. My concern lies with the Bills linebackers and Matt Milano was lost for the season, and Terrell Bernard will be a scratch tonight. I see lots of points this game, and I think that the total should lie somewhere closer to 50. take the over.
Over 46.5 – 2.5 stars
Teaser: Jets to -1.5 with the Buccaneers to +7.5 – 2 stars
