Detroit vs Green Bay -4.5 O/U 46.5
Huge win for the Packers at Dallas last week! This was just another Jason Garrett coaching deficiency going against a young Matt Lefleur. The Packers ran all over this team which made them able to set up play-action and put the Cowboys in desperation pass mode. Dak Prescott’s 3 picks didn’t really help either. This will be harder to accomplish against a rested Lions team coming off the bye. Detroit has played a very challenging schedule vs Kansas City, the Chargers and the Eagles. They are battle tested and sitting nicely to play their first divisional game. The biggest thing here for me is that Detroit ranks above Green Bay in net yards per play by .4. The Lions could easily be 4-0 this year. This game should be a 3 point spread because of the rested Lions team.
Detroit +4.5
Atlanta vs Arizona +2.5 O/U 51.5
This game is all about the spot here. Arizona just got their first win in Cincinnati and now it is time to come back to earth. Atlanta has had a brutal 1-4 start and need to get a W to get back into this or Dan Quinn will be history. I know that Atlanta is a bit beat up on defense and all but it isn’t as bad as Arizona’s injury report. Matt Ryan is a bad road QB but he is good in a dome and playing at State Farm Stadium will help him feel like he is right at home. Atlanta has a net .5 yards per play difference while playing the 6th hardest schedule in football. The Cardinals schedule ranks 24th. I like the spot here and take the dirty birds -2.5
Atlanta -2.5 – 2 star premium shared.
