Dallas vs New England +4 O/U 51
This is going to be an interesting game from the two teams that have the most loudmouth fans in the league (sorry not sorry). I must admit that I had to upgrade Dallas a good amount in my power ratings due to their solid offense that doesn’t seem to have much weakness and an improved defense. You have to give credit to what they are doing down there and up to this point, Mike McCarthy looks competent. My question about this team is what is real and what is fake? Dallas has a nice 1.4 turnovers per game margin which is 2nd in the NFL but I am not so sure that is sustainable. I feel that this turnover ratio might be hiding some deficiencies in their game being that they rank a massive 6th in defensive EPA and efficiency. Looking at yards per play, Dallas gives up a massive 6.3 ranking 28th in the league. Is this ball hocking defense sustainable? Looking at New England now, I have to admit that I had to drop them some in my power ratings but at the same time, this team has a pretty big home field advantage and it showed when they played Tampa Bay. I have New England power rated about 5 points worse than Dallas and being that they are at home, I have to favor them in this situation past the 3. There is also a large coaching mismatch here and I feel that Bill Belichick can muddy this game up to be a much closer result than expected.
New England +4 – 2 stars and sprinkle
Teaser: Bears to +12 with the Rams to -1.5 – 2 stars
