Green Bay vs Houston +3.5 O/U 56.5 –
Green Bay coming off of an embarrassing loss with a total this big? Hmmmmm. Houston has 0 defense and Green Bay should be ready to pounce. Houston had the game last week and blew it in overtime now putting them at a 1-5 record. What now? Their playoff hopes are shot and you might see a very lack-luster Texans team this week. More importantly, my power ratings have Green Bay a 5.25 favorite here and that is counting a few fans in Houston. My Algorithm has the Packers winning 28.26 to 24.62 to be exact. The situation here screams Green Bay to me so I will grab them vs a broken Texans team.
Green Bay -3.5 – 2.5 star premium shared play
Seattle vs Arizona +3 O/U 56.5 –
Arizona had a blast destroying the Cowboys last week. The Line moved slightly in their favor from +5 to +3.25 ish due to juice but not hitting the 3 flat is due to the short week of preparation that they have against the Seahawks. The Seahawks certainly look the part on offense and they put up score for score with any team. Well that is, as long as Russell Wilson continues to have great games. The issue that I have with the Seahawks this week is that they were humming at 5-0 and I think the bye week might be a bad thing this early. Bye weeks do well for teams that are losing or at least lost a few games. It gives players rest and gives the team more of a mental break. The Seahawks didn’t need a bye this early and I think that it will mess up the huge momentum that they had. The Seahawks D ranks dead last in the league giving up 471 yards per game. Did you know that Arizona’s offense actually puts up more yards per game than Seattle at 402 to 396? I actually have Arizona winning this game based on my Algorithm about 29 to 23. My power ratings have Arizona winning by .75. Take the home dog at plus money.
Arizona +3 (+110) – 3 star premium shared and sprinkle
Buffalo vs NY Jets +13 O/U 45.5 –
The NY Jets are a massive home dog here as they should be after their performances this year. They are 0-6 ATS and have no chance of making the playoffs whatsoever. I don’t see the Jets scoring much here and I think that both Defenses could be motivated after last week’s performances. The Jets at least held Miami to 3 points the second half. My Power ratings have the Bills by -11.75 but my Algorithm only has the Bills by 8 points. Due to the Jets massively underachieving and only averaging 12.5 points per game, it makes it very hard to bet on the Jets. I also wonder if the Jets might have given up on their season. The Bills play at a slower pace ranking 25th in plays per game at 62.7 and the Jets might not score much telling me that this is an under play. I gave this out at under 46.5 but still like it down to 44.
Buffalo vs Jets under 45.5 – 2 star premium shared
Refuse to Lose Teaser: Chargers down to 1.5 with the 49ers up to +8 – Patriots don’t blow too many teams out and Jacksonville is almost in Jets territory.
Bow to the gambling gods parlay: Pays 12.5 -1. Doing some spreads and totals with MLs: NCAA: Cincinnati vs SMU Over 56, Rice -3, Miami Florida -11.5, North Carolina -662, Liberty -433 NFL: Buffalo Bills -759, Los Angeles Chargers -369
