Green Bay vs Kansas City +5 O/U 47.5
Ok, so let me ask you what this game would be if Mahomes was playing. It would be Kansas City -5. So basically the line move is saying that Mahomes is worth 9.5 – 10 points. I have to disagree with that. Andy Reid is an offensive genius and he can make players like Alex Smith and Kevin Kolb look like top guys. I think the step down to Matt Moore is more of a 3.5 to 4 point downgrade initially. We have to remember that the Packers are still -.1 net yards per play and they will not be in the lovely confines of Lambeau field here. With Mahomes the Chiefs are a +1.2 yard per play and I think the downgrade shouldn’t be a huge issue in this situation.
Kansas City +4.5 – 2 star premium shared
LA Chargers vs Chicago -4 O/U 40.5
Ok, this is ugly. Very ugly but I have to do this. The Chargers are in a bad situation here with their second straight road game going in against a very pissed of Bears team. We all know that Mitch Trubisky has been terrible but at least he has faced some top defenses. The Chargers are a 0 in net yards per play and at least the Bears are a +.5. The Chargers have now lost another starting offensive lineman in guard Forrest Lamp and are plagued with a plethora of guys that are questionable. I honestly think that Anthony Lynn has lost this team this year. The book on beating this team is taking away 3 players. Hunter Henry, the pass catching running backs weather it be Gordon or Eckler, and safety over the top of Keenan Allen if he even plays. The Bears D line should have a field day getting to Rivers as it is. This is a game that Matt Nagy and Mitch Trubisky needs to shut up the critics Power ratings have this game by -5 but the situation says to play the -4.
Chicago -4 – 2.5 star premium play
Tampa Bay vs Tennessee -2.5 O/U 45.5
I really hate betting on Jameis Winston but I have to take this game for many of the same reasons I took them against the Rams. Tampa is coming off of a bye week after that bad game in London and has had some extra rest to face a terrible offense and a questionable defense. Now I know that Tampa has the worst pass defense in the league but at last they played the toughest schedule up to this point. The Titans schedule ranks 24th so the do not get any love there. Tennessee is now all high and mighty after beating a banged up Chargers team with a switch at quarterback to Ryan Tannahill. Let’s be honest guys, going from Mariotta to Tannahill is like upgrading your transportation from the bus to the subway.
Tampa Bay +2.5 – 2 star premium shared
