Extremely tough week last week going 7-6, still in the green gaining half a unit. However, we are onto week 8 and it is going to be a very intriguing/exciting one at that. It all begins tonight with an NFC battle between the Packers and the Cardinals. Here is my FREE PICK:
Current NFL Season Record: 67-36 (65%), +36.46 units
Gb/Az Under 50 (-105) 1 unit:
Awesome TNF match up with two very good teams. Huge game that may very well play a factor in first round playoff seeding, but let’s not get too far ahead just yet. As we all know the Packers will be without their star receiver Davante Adams and complimentary receiver in Allan Lazard. It is no surprise losing Adams accounts for a significant drop off in the Packers offensive production. Due to that loss I am taking the under and here is why:
Cardinals just received unfortunate news that J.J. Watt will have season ending surgery, which is a tough blow for a top 5 over all defense. That being said, the Cardinals are still a top 5 over all defense, and boy does Rodgers struggle against them. Since 2013 Aaron Rodgers is 0-10 SU on the road against top 5 over all defenses. With a td to int ratio of 11-9, now we are taking away his main number 1 weapon in Davante Adams….oh boy. Valdez-Scantling should be a go for tonight coming off of IR and I expect Rodgers to be targeting his long time receiver in Cobb as well. However, relying on these options rather than checking to them is a huge difference. I could realistically see drives stalling out for the Packers more times than not, having to settle for FGs rather than TDs.
Arizona is an electric offense, but the Packers still have Aaron Rodgers. He is a league MVP and knows to have a chance in this game he has to keep Kyler Murray off the field. I am looking for the Packers to extend drives as long as possible, running clock, and getting the run game going with Jones. Looking for high percentage and high volume short quick passes as well. This will ultimately lead to the key total settling below 50.
Thanks for your support and good luck everyone!
