Houston vs Jacksonville +1.5 O/U 46.5
Here is a situation where both teams are playing in a foriegn place and that usually favors the defense. It is like playing 2 away games here and that usually disrupts the offense. This game is in London at Wembly Stadium and the 7:30 AM kickoff time certainly doesn’t help. Now both of these teams rank somewhere in the middle for points per game, points against but neither team does well on the ground which could cause some 3 and outs. 2 things that I like about Jacksonville in this situation is that They have been to London every year for the last 6 years and their pass defense ranks 14th while Houston’s ranks 28th. Jacksonville also ranks 3rd in Sacks while Houston Ranks 19th. Now that they lost JJ Watt I have to think it may be game over for getting sacks for the Texans. This game earlier this year only went to 25 points. I am going to keep it simple and bet Jacksonville +1.5 and the Under
Jacksonville +1.5 – 2 star premium shared and under 46.5 – 2 star premium shared
NY Jets vs Miami +3 O/U 41.5
Ok, I gave this out at +5.5 but still like it because I have this game at Pickem. The Jets pretty much through up the white surrender flag when they traded Leonard Williams as well as tried to trade Laveon Bell, Jamal Adams and Robbie Anderson. Sam Darnold has a sprained thumb so there’s that. CJ Mosley is also out for 6 weeks or so. I do not see any motivation here for the Jets to even try and Adam Gase is a poor coach when it comes to losing teams. The Dolphins know that this is their last opportunity to win a game this year because the rest of the schedule is very difficult. I have to take the fish here and I think that Fitzmagic will protect the ball do the job this one time.
Miami +3 – 2 star premium and sprinkle
Tampa Bay vs Seattle -6.5 – O/U 51.5
Yes I know, I know it is very ugly to bet on Jameis Winston but we all know we were on the right side last week and still lost. Seattle has been kicking some major ass as we have been seeing but I really do not like how they let a Matt Schaub led Falcons team back into the game last week. Seattle’s defense is very bad giving up 25 points per game and they rank 30th in giving up 6.2 yards per play. Seattle is also 0-4 ATS at home this year so that advantage has dwindled. Tampa bay can at least exploit the Seahawks defensive backs as they rank 27th in giving up 273 yardss per game in the air. Garbage time maybe open here too. Take the Bucks
Tampa Bay Bucks +6.5 – 2 star premium shared