NHL 10/24/18 – Recap and Picks

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The last post was on 10/17/18.  Here’s a recap from that night:  We went 5-2, WAS PL and U6 were our only losses.  Montreal, Calgary, Calgary/Boston O6, Anaheim ML, and Anaheim/NYI U6 all cashed for us.  That brings the season total to 21-17-2. The 17 losses include a lot of bad beats.  It is what it is and we move on, but it shows that were on the right track.

Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders

Florida is at New York tonight. They were in action last night and dropped their game 2-5 versus the Rangers. The Islanders are at home and their last game was the 20th out at San Jose.  That was the last game of a 4 game road trip for them.  They are at home for this lone game and then they head back on the road for a 3 game road trip.  Both teams are off losses, Florida losing two in a row, the Islanders losing at San Jose.  Florida’s record is deceiving, with the exception of last night, all their losses have been by 1 goal.  The Islanders, on the other hand, seem to either win big or lose big. They have won/lost 5 games in a row by 2 or more goals.  In this spot I look for Florida to bounce back and get the win.  They are a few goals or stops here and there from being 5-2 or 6-1, rather than 1-3-3.  I also look for there to be a lot of scoring in this match-up.  I am taking the Over 6.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Winnipeg Jets

The Leafs heads to Winnipeg to face off with the Jets.  Try as I might, I cannot find an edge in this match-up.  The Leafs are 6-3 and the Jets are 6-2-1.  The Jets are hot right now and have been scoring practically at will, scoring 4 or more goals in 4 straight games.  Toronto scored 4 or more goals for 5 straight before cooling off on their 2 game losing streak, only scoring 1 goal.  I look for the Jets to stay hot and for Toronto’s offense to wake up.  I will take the Over 6.5 goals.  If you’re really feeling it, take the Over 7 goals for +150 (5 Dimes).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche

Tampa Bay heads to Colorado to take on the Avalanche. Tampa Bay is on the 3rd game of a 5 game road trip, currently 1-1. Colorado is returning home off of a 4 game road trip, going 3-1. I think Tampa has the edge in tonight’s match-up.  Both team have been playing pretty well to start the season, but I will be taking the road team, Tampa Bay, tonight.  I am also taking the Under 6.5 goals.  I like the under because 4 of the last 5 Avs games have gone under.  And the first two games of the Lightning’s road trip have gone over, so I look for them to tighten up defensively.

Vancouver Canucks @ Las Vegas Knights

The last game of the night on this small slate has the Canucks in Vegas.  Vancouver is on a quick 2 game road trip out west to LV and then on to ARI.  They have lost 2 of their last 3. LV is on game 3 of a 5 game home stand, where they’ve won the first two.  They are on a 3 game win streak, after dropping 4 of their first 5 games to start the season.  Las Vegas has started slow, but seem to be heating up.  Vancouver has been a dog in every game it has played.  If you had just blindly bet Vancouver this season, you’d be up +4.75 Units.  There are many reasons to take Vegas here, and I wouldn’t fault anyone who does.  I just like this spot for Vancouver and I am taking them.  They are off a loss, losing 2 of 3. They will be looking to bounce back here.  The O/U is at 5.5, meaning the book makers don’t think there will be a lot of scoring in this one, making goals a premium.  I am taking Vancouver +1.5 -130.  It’s not often that you can get a goal and a half for only -130.  And with goals being a premium, it is a solid wager. Vegas may certainly win here, but I see it as a 2-3 game if they do.  I am going to sprinkle a little on the ML as well because the Canucks have proven to be active dogs. I also like the Under 5.5 goals here.   GL2ALL!!!

NOTE: At the time of this posting, the sharps are on Florida and Colorado.  The cash is on Winnipeg, Florida, Colorado and Vegas.

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