NHL Picks & Props – November 14th, 2024

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Tonight’s NHL slate is loaded with action, with ten games scheduled across the league.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!

Picks/ Props:

New Jersey Devils @ Florida Panthers

  • Florida Panthers (-160) – BetMGM

These teams just faced off on Tuesday, with the New Jersey Devils taking a 4-1 win despite being outshot 35-23. Jacob Markstrom (NJD) and Spenser Knight were the goaltenders in that game, with Markstrom finishing at +2.65 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) and Knight at -0.44 GSAx. Tonight, Sergei Bobrovsky will start for Florida, while Jake Allen is in net for New Jersey. Interestingly, the Devils have struggled at home this season with a 4-3-2 record, while Florida has excelled on the road at 6-2-0. Given Florida’s overall strength, they have a solid chance to bounce back tonight against a team that recently bested them.

San Jose Sharks @ New York Rangers

  • Mika Zibanejad over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings

Zibanejad is currently skating on New York’s top line with Kreider and Smith and also plays on the Rangers’ top power-play unit.

In his last five games, Zibanejad has hit his shots-on-goal target three times, averaging 2.4 shots on goal and 4.0 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal at a 62.5% rate compared to just 16.7% on the road.

San Jose ranks 31st in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 34.2. Breaking it down further, the Sharks have allowed the 5th most shots on goal per game to forwards this season (22.69).

Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Victor Hedman over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-105) – DraftKings

Hedman is currently skating on Tampa Bay’s top defensive unit with J.J. Moser and also plays on the Lightning’s top power-play unit.

In his last four games, Hedman has hit his shots-on-goal target three times, averaging 3.0 shots on goal and 5.25 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in three of his last five games.

Winnipeg ranks 19th in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 29.4. Breaking it down further, the Jets have allowed the 6th most shots on goal per game to forwards this season (9.07).

St. Louis Blues @ Buffalo Sabres

  • Rasmus Dahlin over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-168) – DraftKings

Dahlin is currently skating on Buffalo’s top defensive unit with Bowen Byram and also plays on the Sabres’ top power-play unit.

In his last five games, Dahlin has hit his shots-on-goal target in each game, averaging 3.4 shots on goal and 7.20 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last five games.

St. Louis ranks 24th in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 30.3.

Boston Bruins @ Dallas Stars

  • Tyler Seguin over 0.5 Point (-110) – DraftKings

Seguin is set to face his former team tonight. He has recorded a point in six of his last seven games and currently skates on Dallas’ second line with Mason Marchment and Matt Duchene. Seguin also sees time on the Stars’ second power-play unit, which should have ample opportunities tonight. Dallas ranks 13th in goals per game, averaging 3.21, while the Bruins rank 21st in goals against per game, allowing an average of 3.18. Boston’s defense has shown some vulnerability recently, conceding at least three goals in three of their last four games.

Nashville Predators @ Edmonton Oilers

  • Connor McDavid over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings

McDavid is currently skating on Edmonton’s top line with Nugent-Hopkins and Hyman and also plays on the Oilers’ top power-play unit.

In his last three games since returning from injury, McDavid has hit his shots-on-goal target twice, averaging 4.67 shots on goal and 8.0 shot attempts per game. He’s been particularly reliable at home this season, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in three of his last four games.

Nashville ranks 18th in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 29.4.

Promotions/ Sources:

Linemate – Player/ Team Props

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Shot Propz – Charts

  • Shots on Goal (SOG) Against by Position
  • Shot Attempts (SAT) Against by Position
  • Goals Against (GA) by Position
  • Team Offensive Stat Overview
  • Team Defensive Stat Overview
  • Team Hits and Blocks

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

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