NHL Preview & Picks – March 13th, 2023

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We only have three games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down my best bets along with a few player props to take a look at.

 

Pick(s):

[All plays are to win 1 Unit unless otherwise noted]

  • Seattle Kraken (+104) – FanDuel

The Kraken are coming off an overtime loss against the Stars in their most recent game. Seattle outshot Dallas in that matchup but, Philipp Grubauer struggled finishing with a -1.24 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx). While Dallas is sticking with Jake Oettinger in net tonight, while Seattle has decided to switch things up and have Martin Jones start. After a strong start to the season, Oettinger has fallen off a bit allowing at least three goals in each of his last four starts. Martin Jones will get his first start since March 2nd.

Dallas is in the middle of a six-game road trip and have won their first two games. Seattle is on their last game of a four-game homestand where they haven’t been great going 1-2. The Kraken also need every point possible as they’re in a playoff battle with Edmonton for the 3rd seed in the Pacific.

As a home underdog tonight, I think we see a much more inspired effort from the Kraken as they look to take revenge on a team that just beat them.

 

Player Props to Target:

  • Artturi Lehkonen over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+118) – FanDuel
    • Artturi Lehkonen has gone over this number in just two of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.4 shots on goal and 3.2 shot attempts per game. However, on the road, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in four of his last five. The Canadiens rank 28th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.76. At home, that number drops slightly to 32.12. Montreal has also given up the 5th most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers this year. In their previous matchup against the Canadiens this year, Lehkonen recorded 3 shots on goal in 5 attempts.
  • Valeri Nichushkin over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-130) – FanDuel
    • Valeri Nichushkin has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.0 shots on goal and 4.2 shot attempts per game. On the road, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in three of his last five. The Canadiens rank 28th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.76. At home, that number drops slightly to 32.12. Montreal has also given up the 2nd most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers this year.
  • Oliver Bjorkstrand over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-144) – FanDuel
    • Oliver Bjorkstrand has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.8 shots on goal and 6.2 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last five. The Stars rank 12th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 30.92. On the road, that number drops slightly to 32.31. Dallas has also given up the 5th most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers in their last ten games.
  • Nathan MacKinnon over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-148) – FanDuel
    • Nathan MacKinnon has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 5.0 shots on goal and 7.4 shot attempts per game. On the road, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in four of his last five. The Canadiens rank 28th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.76. At home, that number drops slightly to 32.12. Montreal has also given up the 14th most shots on goal per game to Centers this year. In his three previous matchups against the Canadiens, MacKinnon has recorded more than 4.5 shots on goal twice.
  • Mitchell Marner over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-155) – DraftKings
    • Mitchell Marner has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 6.4 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 shots on goal in three of his last five. The Sabres rank 25th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.42. On the road, that number increases slightly to 34.23. Buffalo has also given up the 9th most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers this year.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

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