NHL Preview & Picks – November 14th, 2022

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We have a small slate tonight with only four games taking place across the NHL. I offer my best bets of the night along with a few player props to target.

 

Pick(s):

  • St. Louis Blues/ Colorado Avalanche over 6.0 (-115) – DraftKings/ PointsBet
    • Risk 0.29 to win 0.25 Units

The Blues have had a less-than-ideal start to the season. They’ve struggled in all areas ranking near the bottom in offense and defense. Their starting goaltender Jordan Binnington hasn’t been great either with a -2.7 GSAx through ten games. However, they recently snapped their eight-game losing streak over the weekend and have won their last two. Their offense has looked much better in those two games and will face a depleted Colorado defensive unit tonight.

Just like St. Louis, Colorado started off the season slow. However, that high-flying offense that we’ve known to associate with this team has returned. In their last four games, they’ve averaged 5 goals for per game. St. Louis is dead last in goals against and has a few key injuries on their blue line. Despite having a 7-1-1 record, Alexander Georgiev has a 2.66 GAA. He’s also allowed three or more goals in his last four starts.

With both of these teams offensives coming to life in the past few games and their defensive unit’s limited, I like this game to go over. When you combine those two factors with the sub-par goaltending we’ve seen out of these two starters, I expect this game to turn into a track meet.

 

Player Props to Target:

  • Evan Rodrigues over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+120)
    • He’s gone over this number in three of his last 5 games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.6 SOG and over 6.2 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 3.5 SOG in each of his last three games. The Blues rank 18th in SOG allowed per game.
  • Tim Stutzle over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+110)
    • He’s gone over this number in four of his last 5 games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.6 SOG and over 6.8 shot attempts per game. At home, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in four of his last five. The Islanders rank 19th in SOG allowed per game.
  • Martin Necas over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-160)
    • He’s gone over this number in three of his last 5 games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.2 SOG and over 5.4 shot attempts per game. On the road, he’s recorded over 2.5 SOG in four of his last five. The Blackhawks rank 29th in SOG allowed per game.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.