Podcast 31 – 20 – NFL Football 2020 Season Win Totals (part 4) – Sports Betting

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We have a great and hopefully very informative show for you today!  We get into the AFC North & South season win totals and division previews.   First and foremost, Kiev answers a listener question on how to turn a $500 dollar free deposit bet into max profit and guaranteed profit!  The scenario is maxed at +300 allowed based on a staggered parlay play both around ~+110 odds.  So $500*3 = $1500 payout for 2 games parlayed and played at different times.  at +110 the normal hedge odds of both bets would be -130.   The equations are 1500 – z – x = y for break even max profit analysis.  X is the amount of your bet.  Y = x/1.3 which is your max profit rate at -130,  Z = 1.3(x+y) which is max profit (hypothetical since we can’t win both hedge bets) and it simply becomes 2.3x due to the algebra.  The main equation of (1500 – z – x) = y becomes (1500 – 2.3x – x) = x/1.3.

Next, we go into the divisional previews and how actual wins from 2019 compared to Pythagorean wins.  We also get into how Kiev adjusts for last years injuries, strength of schedule, free agency losses, additions, trades and the draft.  There are also a few plays for you as usual!  Have a great weekend and stay safe everyone!

#Sportsbetting #Gamblingtwitter #NCAA #NFL #UFC #Horseracing

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