Premier League Free Play!

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The first PL game for me did not go as planned, however did not feel like I was out of my element at all. Burnley and Watford were as advertised; two bottom of the table teams with limited offensive presence and tons of middle of the field play. Personally I thought Burnley was the better team that day, just didn’t go our way. We are now set up with a fabulous week of PL action with 20 games from 2/8-2/15. It just so happens we have the treat of enjoying Watford and Burnley in play tomorrow (2/8). Instead this time I have a different approach.

 Current PL Record: 0-1 (-1 Unit)

West Ham United ML (-225) Parlayed Manchester United (-165)

1 Unit for +132

Trying a new angle of creating value here.   First match on the ticket is WHU sitting at 5th on the table vs 19th Watford. Second we have Man U who is currently sitting at 4th on the table vs last place Burnley in 20th.

First go around WHU took it to Watford 4-1 on the road. As we identified this past weekend, Watford has not really been showing a pulse. They had opportunities against last place Burnley, but could not find the back of the net. Now they have to travel on the road against a team they know dominated them last go around. WHU’s last PL match was a huge disappointment, when they all but got a point for a draw, facing MU. With a last second goal in stoppage time of the 93rd Minute MU heroically pulled out a 1-0 victory.   I am looking for a bounce back game here for WHU to make a statement and win these types of games they are suppose to stay within striking distance of the top 4 table. Match prediction 3-1.

Back at it again with Burnley at home, however I just do not see them having the firepower to compete with the likes of MU. Soccer can be a tricky game in the sense a team can absolutely dominate and still not find the back of the net. That is my only reserve with MU. They are a top 4 team but they can certainly play down to competition. First match up between these two teams, MU took care of Burnley at home 3-1 with a ML of -280. This does raise a slight red flag to me that MU is only   -165 here. The combination of weather with the rain/wind, being on the road, and the new addition of Weghorst could possibly be factors. We are well aware MU will control possession and Burnley will stack their defensive box and hope for a quick counter attack strike. I don’t think MU lets Burnley hang around. They come out quick build a 2-0 lead and Burnley may break through late in the match, but too little too late. Match prediction 2-1.