Hi All! Great night Wednesday, going 6-2 overall in the NBA and CBB. Not an NBA slate I like tonight but we found some value:
NBA:
Hornets TT under 112.5 (-115), to win 1 unit
The Raptors outplayed the Hornets and won by margin two nights ago but Charlotte still forced their style of play. It was faster paced, higher scoring, and at the end of the day Toronto still allowed the Hornets to drop 120 points. I think their emphasis is on defense tonight and the inefficiencies of the Charlotte Hornets reveal their head again.
Lakers 1Q +0.5 (-104), to win 1 unit
Lakers 1H +1.5 (-112), to win 1 unit
Lakers TT over 116.5 (-105), to win 1 unit
The Lakers aren’t a great team but lately their offense has played considerably better and they’ve been running fast up and down the court. With Lebron in the lineup tonight, who’s points prop I considered taking since he’ll have to shoulder such a huge workload, the Lakers should be able to create some unanticipated offense.
CBB (9-7, +1.43 units):
Michigan +5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Iowa’s inability to prevent scoring at the rim and their weaknesses on defense in general should allow the Wolverines a chance to hang in this game. Besides, except for a blip at the beginning of the season against Arizona State. The Wolverines haven’t lost by margin this season. I don’t see Iowa accomplishing that tonight, either.
Parlay: USC wins and Colorado/USC under 141.5 (+200), to win 2 units
USC is coming off two straight losses and will really want to get-right in this spot, but Colorado’s defense is superb. The Buffalo like to run at a faster pace but USC, who’s strength also lies in their defense, should be able to slow them down and make this a big-bodied defensive challenge in the paint. I think USC to muster a win in a closely fought, low-scoring SEC battle
Weber State/Montana over 134.5 (-110, to win 1.5 units
Nine out of fifteen Montana games have gone over the total and they’ve eclipsed 134 points 11 different times with their opponents this season. Montana is a good over-team because their defense is SO bad but they can find a lot of success from beyond the arc. I expect another over.