Firstly, I hope most of you nailed that CLE/BOS under – the line came out 211.5, I took it, and it rose as far up as 217. Again that’s a line movement I did NOT anticipate, that’s been happening a lot this year, but usually (and oddly), it’s landed us on the right side more often than not.
This is a rough fucking stretch, but it’ll settle soon. We win long term, as you know, and as all of my records indicate. Let’s fucking get some wins tonight (I’d rather not throw my TV out the window, which is close to happening).
NBA Picks, 12.23:
- Dallas +5 * (the Bucks are off a back to back, the Mavs are at home and they have the shooting power to keep this close, especially since Giannis is still out. Only 1 unit b/c the rosters are so damn annoying with all the injuries/COVID stuff, but +5 is too many points, by principle, for Dallas at home. I doubt this line moves up any more but who the hell knows these days)
- Denver -2.5 * (this line might actually move down a little so you can wait on it if you want. Denver didn’t play their starters fully last night, with most averaging around 25 min, including Jokic. THIS should be the game where the Joker explodes and Charlotte’s lack of defense will only help)
- Jazz only at -9.5 or less ** (if this line drops, and it may- hammer the Jazz. They’re at home and Towns WISHES he and his team were as good as Utah. The Jazz usually spank the Timberwolves and without Anthony Edwards, I can’t play Minnesota’s side. -11.5 is too big, so this is ONLY a bet if it drops)
- Memphis +6 ** (GS hurt, Memphis should thrive down low, Grizzlies healthy and rested)
- Suns -15 * (this is UGLY and SQUARE but it’s one of the few games where we can actually anticipate how the narrative will go. OKC off a big win at home last night, psh – all systems go on Phoenix.
NFL Earlies, Week 16:
- Titans +3.5 **
- Packers -7 (waiting for this line to come down, if/when. It may not, but if it’s -7 or less, I’m taking GB for 2 units. At -7.5, I’d do a 1 unit bet)
- Cardinals -1 **
- Lions +5.5 **
- Ravens/Bengals under 45.5 **
- Vikings +3 **
- Bills: wait until it’s +3, if/when **
- Giants/Eagles under 40.5 **
- Texans +10 ***
- Raiders ML *
- WFT +10.5 **
Chris
