Premiums, 2.26

563

 

Welp, good thing we ultimately avoided the Lakers huh? Looked like they were the right side for a second but, nope. That’s a team in real disarray, and the more they lose, the less LeBron will care.

Raptors shit the bed but a 2-1 night overall. Not a ton of value on today’s NBA card, in my opinion, but let’s unpack a few things. Appreciate all of your support as always – spread the good name of FarleyBets!
NBA Picks:
  • Lean, Celtics -11: Not an official pick, but it’s really hard to not play on Boston in every game right now. They’re playing lights out on both sides of the court – maybe consider a team total on Boston or if they start slow, bet them live.
  • Grizzlies moneyline (+105), 1 unit
    • Listen, the Bulls are staying afloat and kudos to DeMar DeRozan, who just keeps on proving people wrong with his fantastic shooting and big 4th quarters. But the Grizzlies are a really good team, off a loss, and they should EAT in the paint today. Chicago is NOT skilled at stopping a good front court offense. I think the wrong side is favored.
  • Grizzlies Team Total over 117.5, 2 units:
    • Even if the Grizzlies lose, they should score a ton of points against a shallow Bulls’ defense.
  • Nets/Bucks under 237, 1 unit
    • This total is too high for me. The Bucks NEED to start playing better defense in these next 25 games before the playoffs, and they have the size, coaching, and skill to turn things around. The Nets remain without 2 of their big 3 in this contest. I have this at 231 and would play it down to 234.
CBB Picks:
  • Purdue -5, 1 unit: We’re betting on Michigan State’s slide to continue – I see no signs that it won’t.
  • Vermont -16, 1 unit: I know, gross, but this is a big time disparity in ratings and Vermont is at home.
  • N. Iowa +2.5, 1 unit: Loyola shot ridiculously well in their first contest against N. Iowa and it was close – I think the home team can hang today.
  • Gonzaga -10, 1.5 units: The Zags just have too much length and offensive advantages in this contest.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris