Premiums, 3.14

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Welp, shitty weekend, and I take full accountability. Have you ever felt displaced or just OFF and yet you still proceed as usual, thinking everything will just remain the same? That’s kind of how this whole weekend felt for me. Packing, moving, not well rested; just not the best version of myself. This is still gambling, and I know you all trust the process and sometimes we lose (no one’s hitting 100% out there), but next time a big event like this happens, I’ll make sure I proceed with more caution. Wasn’t easy being judicious after such a phenomenal week. 

Alright. Tirade over. I’m settled in and it’s a new week! Here’s a few early plays for Monday. May or may not add more tomorrow.
NBA Picks: 
  • Nuggets +3, 1.5 units
    • There’s a reason why this number is immediately moving down in favor of Denver. Now, it may move back up tomorrow so buyer beware, but I wouldn’t be shocked if it didn’t. The 76ers played a TOUGH game Sunday, in OT, against Orlando, and barely pulled out a victory. They were down double-digits for most of that contest. Now here comes Jokic, the leading MVP candidate next to Embiid, and they’re off two bad losses in a row while vying for the top spot in the Northwest Division. Even though it’s in Philly, this is a great setup for Denver to get some redemption. They also lost against the 76ers earlier this year so it’s doubly redemptive. My money will be on Denver taking a victory in the City of Brotherly love – I’d give a little ML sprinkle, too.
  • T-Wolves/Spurs over (up to 243), 1.5 units
    • Fast-pace, barely any defense, and two teams that score over 120 like most teams score 100. I can only look at the over here. If it opens at 245 or more, I can’t play that, but grab anything else for 1.5 units. Remember, that the T-Wolves/Magic game not going over was complete BS.
  • Warriors -12, 2 units
    • Hammer time for the Warriors! The Warriors are starting to find another level of play and the Wizards just don’t have enough talent to hang with this version of Golden State. That’s especially true against a juggernaut offense like the Warriors can be, and now they have Draymond returning to clamp down on defense. The Warriors out-perform and out-pace the Wizards with ease in this one. I think they’re going to start looking A LOT like the version of the Warriors we saw earlier this year. Look out.