Badass day Saturday – let’s keep it rollin’!
NBA Picks:
- Blazers/Pacers over 234.5, 1.5 units
- I wish we got a better number and this is getting a little high but I have this game at 237. The Pacers will have their way with the Blazers on offense, with easily the best player on the court in T. Haliburton, while the Blazers will have more space and less resistance than usual. This feels a lot like the DET/ORL game Thursday – a bunch of young, skilled scorers maximizing the situation with little else to play for – so why not score a ton of points? Love the over, and I’d take it up to 235.
- Hawks/Pelicans under 232, 1 unit
- The line feels right but the total feels way too high. The Pelicans and Hawks don’t exactly play at a blitzing pace, especially when facing teams that play with a similar tempo. This contest also has a contentious feel – two teams battling for a spot in the playoffs and both willing to put in full effort on defense to gain margin. I have this at 226 and I’d take it down to 230.
- Suns/Kings over 232.5, 1.5 units
- All the Suns do is prove over and over how good they are and how consistent they are, especially on offense, and all they do is hit overs, too. The Suns have played much faster without CP3 and the Kings find ways to put up points in most contests, no matter who their opponent is. Not going to overthink this – this is a straightforward play that “should” hit.
- Knicks 1H +2.5, 1 unit
- I’d rather not subject myself to another Knicks flake-out-session in the 2nd half, so why not a 1st half bet. The Knicks have been covering ATS and battling hard in the 1st half of play for almost 2 weeks now. The Jazz are elite when they want to be, but they’ve shown a real lack of chemistry in situations where the other team is more motivated. I’m taking NYK at home in the first 24 minutes.
CBB Picks:
- Illinois wins (+155), 1 unit to win 1.55 units
- I think Houston is overrated this year, and if Kofi Cockburn plays to his potential, he can overcome a really good paint defense.
- Texas Tech over 70 points, 1 unit
- The Red Raiders know that ND can score, and even though the Irish are VERY MUCH DUE for some negative regression in their efficiency, Texas Tech should come out hot and aggressive on the offensive end of the floor. Predicated on defense, but we’ve seen the way they can run up the score against a mediocre defense.
- Parlay (1.3 units to win 4.8 units):
- All Money-Line: Villanova, Auburn, Texas Tech, Purdue, Arizona
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris
