Premiums, 3.23

297

 

I took off tomorrow morning and my ass is SLEEPING IN – I fucking need it! So here’s all of my premium picks for Wednesday, nice and early as these lines start coming out. As always let me know if you have any questions. 
  • Kings/Pacers over 236, 1 unit
    • At this point, this is an auto-bet. Two fast-paced teams full of young talent with nothing to play for EXCEPT proving that they’re all a commodity. The line should be at 240 and I’d take it up to that.
  • Heat -6.5 or less, 1.5 units
    • This line currently sits at -8, which is too rich for my blood, but I’d take it at anything under 6.5 and let’s hope it moves down tomorrow. After the Heat broke our hearts, what’s the move here? YEA – bet them. And it looks like, judging by the way Golden State is playing against Orlando tonight, this is probably the right side. Now was it the RIGHT side beyond comprehension on Monday against a 76ers team without Embiid and Harden? Damn right it was. But I could argue it’s even more the case Wednesday. The Heat got beat in every way Monday. Front court points, rebounding, 3s – I think Miami plays a very complete game and makes a statement Wednesday.
  • Nets -2.5, 2.5 units
    • The Nets are just a completely different team when Kyrie and Durant are on the court and it’s all positive from my perspective. As much as their personalities make me want to pull my hair out, what little hair I have left, they’re both elite in different, complimentary ways, and it presents myriad problems for their opponents. Memphis has demonstrated solid defense all year but they’re not on the level of Boston and the Nets dropped 120 in that contest. This is a great spot for Brooklyn to show off their playoff form. I’m on the Nets and this line could rise– deservedly so. Oh yea- and Morant was just announced OUT.
  • Suns/T-Wolves over 236.5, 2.5 units
    • I can’t believe this total came out this low. The Suns have played exceptionally fast without CP3 in their lineup and now the high-paced, high-output Minnesota Timberwolves (who can barely miss from beyond the arc these days, by the way), are playing at home, after a loss, and they’re ready to pounce. It’s clear that Minnesota believes in their style of play and who can blame them? It works. All over for this guy.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit. 
 
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris