Premiums, 4.1

592

 

Too bad all of yesterday’s bullshit wasn’t April Fool’s huh? Turns out it didn’t take me as long as I thought it would this morning. Onto Friday:

NBA Picks:
  • Mavs/Wizards under 219.5, 1.5 units
    • The Mavs play slow and REALLY lock down on defense lately, especially in the second half. The Wizards are incredibly inept as a shooting team, they just are, and they’re not particularly fast or potent in any regard. This is a sleepy under spot and wouldn’t be surprised if it fell under 200. I’d take it down to 217.
  • T-Wolves/Nuggets over 237, 1 unit
    • Denver has been increasing their pace and basing their offense on their young, athletic talent. Jokic facilitates and draws attention and won’t have much issue against the T-Wolves, who are a solid defense but no match for Jokic in command. The T-Wolves run fast and need to explode to overwhelm other teams. Tempo and scoring should be the definition of this matchup.
  • Pacers TT under 105.5, 2 units
    • Celtics put the clamps down against a team that’s given up. Remember, the #1 seed is very much alive for Boston – they can’t afford some fluke loss.
  • Spurs 1H TT over 62, 1.5 units
    • This line isn’t officially out yet but it should fall somewhere between 60 and 63. I’d take it up to 64. The Spurs, with their pace, need to win, and Portland’s severe lack of resistance, should have their way early. This game could slow down late if there’s too much of a margin.
  • Lakers -2, 1 unit
    • It’s ugly but we gotta do it. LeBron and AD back, to make a playoff push, is as ugly and annoying as it gets but – turns out they’re really good basketball players when they’re motivated. LAL fought hard last night against Utah – expect LeBron to carry them to a win and cover.
WNCAA:
  • Louisville +8.5, 1 unit: the Hailey effect.
  • UCONN +1.5, 1 unit: the Paige effect.
Not to mention, popular media wants that matchup.
Chris